Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Ilya Sorokin vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

In 2025-26, Ilya Sorokin posted a .906 save percentage to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen's .910.

Against our expected-goals model, Sorokin saved +24.4 goals and Luukkonen +8.3.

This week Sorokin has 1 game left (about 1.0 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup; Luukkonen has 1 left (about 0.9 expected starts) with 1 soft matchup. We project Sorokin for 2.2 ESPN points to Luukkonen's 1.2.

Ilya Sorokin has the better number in 6 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.

Sorokin's biggest edges: Shutouts 7, Saves 1,386, Games started 54.

Luukkonen's biggest edges: Rebounds prevented /100 +0.23, Goals against 85, Overtime losses 3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .923 SV%.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 W, .773 SV%.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ilya Sorokin

2.26

fantasy points per game

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

2.09

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ilya Sorokin has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSorokinLuukkonen
Wins (+4)1.982.36
Goals against (-2)-5.16-5.18
Saves (+0.2)5.034.74
Shutouts (+3)0.380.09
OT losses (+1)0.040.09

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Sorokin vs Luukkonen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SorokinLuukkonen
5Team record in 12 meetings7

Games against each other

Games between Ilya Sorokin and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
DateScoreSorokinLuukkonen
2026-03-31NYI 3–4 BUF29/32 SV25/28 SV
2025-12-20NYI 2–3 BUF0/0 SV0/0 SV
2024-12-23NYI 1–7 BUF18/24 SV27/28 SV
2024-11-30NYI 3–0 BUF29/29 SV0/0 SV
2024-11-01NYI 4–3 BUF32/35 SV0/0 SV
2024-03-14NYI 0–4 BUF33/36 SV21/21 SV
2023-10-21NYI 1–3 BUF0/0 SV0/0 SV
2023-10-14NYI 3–2 BUF26/28 SV0/0 SV
2023-03-25NYI 0–2 BUF0/0 SV0/0 SV
2023-03-07NYI 3–2 BUF22/24 SV36/39 SV
2023-01-19NYI 2–3 BUF42/45 SV24/26 SV
2021-12-30NYI 4–1 BUF0/0 SV0/0 SV

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SorokinLuukkonen

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ilya Sorokin

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

About 1.0 expected starts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to GSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD97% to start2.2 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to GSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

About 0.9 expected starts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to GLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI86% to start1.2 pts
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to GLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

FAQ

Should I start Ilya Sorokin or Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen?
In 2025-26, Ilya Sorokin posted a .906 save percentage to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen's .910. Against our expected-goals model, Sorokin saved +24.4 goals and Luukkonen +8.3. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
Who is better, Ilya Sorokin or Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ilya Sorokin leads in 6 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sorokin and Luukkonen done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Sorokin's team went 5–7.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →