New York Islanders vs. Buffalo SabresOct 21, 2023

FinalSaturday, Oct 21, 2023· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
NYI	0	0	1	1		NYI	8	8	9	25
BUF	0	2	1	3		BUF	13	17	12	42

: NYI 47BUF 78
: NYI 2.50BUF 3.87
PP goals: NYI 0BUF 0
Hits: NYI 44BUF 19
Blocks: NYI 22BUF 12
PIM: NYI 11BUF 11
: NYI 32%BUF 68%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat New York Islanders 3–1

Buffalo Sabres beat New York Islanders 3–1 at home. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for BUF: Greenway–Thompson–Cozens skated 9:32 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (73.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jeff Skinner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:10.Skinner
Points
Casey Mittelstadt had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:41.Mittelstadt
New line
New look for BUF: Greenway–Thompson–Cozens skated 9:32 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (73.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Greenway Thompson Cozens
Goalie
Semyon Varlamov (NYI) faced 42 shots and stopped 39 (.929), +12 against a season average of 29.9; the loss.Varlamov
New line
New look for NYI: Horvat–Barzal–Wahlstrom skated 8:30 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (29.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Horvat Barzal Wahlstrom
New line
New look for BUF: Olofsson–Krebs–Peterka skated 6:53 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Olofsson Krebs Peterka
New line
New look for BUF: Skinner–Tuch–Mittelstadt skated 7:45 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Skinner Tuch Mittelstadt
New line
New look for NYI: Lee–Pageau–Gauthier skated 7:51 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (36.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lee Pageau Gauthier

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← NYI attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
NYI
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 125 of 125 attempts · BUF 78 · NYI 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
NYI
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
NYI pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: NYI 18% of the game, BUF 46%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

NYI

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	NYI	BUF
	44	79
	2.38	3.86
	2.08	3.43
	13	23
	4	6
	11	12
	−0.124	+0.125
	18%	46%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

New York Islanders

L1Palmieri – Nelson – Engvall
8:4741% CF
L2Horvat – Barzal – Wahlstrom
8:3029% CF
L3Lee – Pageau – Gauthier
7:5137% CF
L4Clutterbuck – Martin – Cizikas
6:4663% CF
D1Pulock – Romanov
13:3225% CF
D2Pelech – Dobson
13:2338% CF
D3Aho – Bolduc
7:1650% CF

PP1Palmieri – Nelson – Horvat – Barzal – Dobson
3:2986% CF
PP2Lee – Pageau – Engvall – Aho – Wahlstrom
1:48100% CF
PK1FPalmieri – Pageau
1:48
PK2FClutterbuck – Cizikas
1:37
PK1DPelech – Pulock
2:15
PK2DAho – Romanov
0:57

Current NYI line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Greenway – Thompson – Cozens
9:3273% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Jost
8:4662% CF
L3Skinner – Tuch – Mittelstadt
7:4557% CF
L4Olofsson – Krebs – Peterka
6:5355% CF
D1Samuelsson – Dahlin
13:5276% CF
D2Johnson – Clifton
11:1538% CF
D3Jokiharju – Power
11:0279% CF

PP1Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Dahlin – Cozens
2:44100% CF
PP2Olofsson – Mittelstadt – Krebs – Peterka – Power
1:58100% CF
PK1FGreenway – Thompson
1:48
PK2FOkposo – Girgensons
1:09
PK1DJohnson – Samuelsson
1:41
PK2DClifton – Jokiharju
0:33

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

16:37
BUFJeff Skinner (Casey Mittelstadt)snap0.09 xG
NYI: Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, DobsonBUF: Skinner, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power
NYI 0 – 1 BUF
19:23
BUFMattias Samuelsson (Casey Mittelstadt, Jeff Skinner)wrist0.14 xG
NYI: Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Engvall, DobsonBUF: Skinner, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Peterka
NYI 0 – 2 BUF

3rd period

2:40
BUFDylan Cozens (Rasmus Dahlin, Jordan Greenway)wrist0.17 xG
NYI: Pageau, Engvall, Gauthier, Aho, BolducBUF: Greenway, Thompson, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens
NYI 0 – 3 BUF
18:39
NYINoah Dobson (Mathew Barzal, Bo Horvat)slap0.01 xG
NYI: Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Wahlstrom, DobsonBUF: Johnson, Clifton, Greenway, Thompson, Cozens
NYI 1 – 3 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

New York Islanders

NYI skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Kyle Palmieri C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	1	0	0	19:15	—	—	44	16
Brock Nelson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	0	2	0	17:26	—	—	44	24
Pierre Engvall L	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	2	13:37	—	—	33	20
Bo Horvat C	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.18	3	0	0	19:44	—	—	20	38
Mathew Barzal C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.36	1	0	0	17:03	—	—	36	42
Oliver Wahlstrom R	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.51	4	0	0	12:16	—	—	32	44
Anders Lee L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	5	0	0	16:35	—	—	32	34
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.19	2	4	0	15:50	—	—	41	34
Julien Gauthier R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	4	1	0	12:58	—	—	23	25
Casey Cizikas C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.27	5	0	2	13:50	—	—	42	53
Cal Clutterbuck R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	11:59	—	—	60	66
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.24	5	2	0	10:45	—	—	40	43
Ryan Pulock D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	2	23:07	—	—	28	54
Alexander Romanov D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	2	0	21:52	—	—	24	25
Noah Dobson D	D2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.04	1	2	0	24:44	—	—	35	17
Adam Pelech D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	6	5	21:55	—	—	37	20
Sebastian Aho D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:34	—	—	44	37
Samuel Bolduc D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	10:23	—	—	60	74

NYI goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	L	42	39	3	.929	3.87	59:07

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	0	10	0.88	0	0	0	18:18	—	—	78	81
Jordan Greenway L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.01	2	1	0	17:39	—	—	71	73
Dylan Cozens C	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.76	0	0	0	16:24	—	—	74	79
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	1	2	0	14:21	—	—	65	63
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	2	0	0	13:05	—	—	59	90
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	3	0	0	12:20	—	—	58	26
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.18	0	0	0	15:41	—	—	59	79
Alex Tuch R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	0	7	15:19	—	—	61	66
Jeff Skinner L	L3	1	1	2	+2	4	0.43	0	2	0	14:10	—	—	57	38
JJ Peterka R	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.46	0	0	0	15:33	—	—	68	75
Peyton Krebs C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	0	0	14:23	—	—	53	54
Victor Olofsson L	L4	0	0	0	+1	5	0.36	0	0	0	11:48	—	—	52	30
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.13	3	0	0	23:02	—	—	72	79
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.14	2	0	2	18:25	—	—	80	85
Connor Clifton D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	2	2	0	18:56	—	—	50	34
Erik Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	2	0	17:12	—	—	47	52
Owen Power D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	3	0	22:30	—	—	67	57
Henri Jokiharju D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	0	2	14:54	—	—	81	82

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Eric Comrie(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	2.50	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Noah Dobson (NYI) 3rd 18:39 · assists Mathew Barzal, Bo Horvat · Off the faceoff · 36.1 mph shot.

Noah Dobson · 3rd 18:39 · NYI

Play: faceoff
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 36.1 mph
Distance: 36 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jeff Skinner · 2nd 16:37 · BUF

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 1
Shot: 64.2 mph
Distance: 17 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 19:23 · BUF

Play: cycle
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 55.1 mph
Distance: 29 ft
Entry to goal: 6.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Dylan Cozens · 3rd 2:40 · BUF

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 56.0 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Entry to goal: 3.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.