Who to start · 2025-26
Karel Vejmelka vs Samuel Ersson
In 2025-26, Karel Vejmelka posted a .897 save percentage to Samuel Ersson's .870.
Against our expected-goals model, Vejmelka saved +7.0 goals and Ersson −13.0.
This week Vejmelka has 2 games left (about 1.6 expected starts) with 1 tough matchup; Ersson has 1 left (about 0.0 expected starts). We project Vejmelka for 3.3 ESPN points to Ersson's 0.0.
Karel Vejmelka has the better number in 8 of the 11 stats both are ranked on.
Vejmelka's biggest edges: Saves 1,458, Goals saved above expected +7.0, Wins 38.
Ersson's biggest edges: Goals against 97, Overtime losses 5, Rebounds prevented /100 +1.53.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 W, 1.000 SV%.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Karel Vejmelka
1.79
fantasy points per game
Samuel Ersson
-0.11
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Karel Vejmelka has the edge.
| Points per game from | Vejmelka | Ersson |
|---|---|---|
| Wins (+4) | 2.38 | 1.70 |
| Goals against (-2) | -5.28 | -5.88 |
| Saves (+0.2) | 4.56 | 3.92 |
| Shutouts (+3) | 0.09 | 0.00 |
| OT losses (+1) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Vejmelka vs Ersson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Vejmelka | Ersson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | UTA 3–0 PHI | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2026-01-21 | UTA 5–4 PHI | 25/29 SV | 22/27 SV |
| 2025-02-04 | UTA 3–2 PHI | 18/20 SV | 39/42 SV |
| 2024-12-08 | UTA 4–2 PHI | 0/0 SV | 21/25 SV |
| 2024-02-12 | ARI 3–5 PHI | 29/33 SV | 20/23 SV |
| 2023-12-07 | ARI 1–4 PHI | 0/0 SV | 0/0 SV |
| 2023-01-05 | ARI 2–6 PHI | 28/34 SV | 0/0 SV |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Karel Vejmelka
3games (2 left)
3.3proj. ESPN pts
About 1.6 expected starts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to GLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ91% to start1.6 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to GSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B64% to start1.7 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to GSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Samuel Ersson
1games
0.0proj. ESPN pts
About 0.0 expected starts
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR2% to start0.0 ptsOpp allows 12th-most FP to GLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Karel Vejmelka or Samuel Ersson?
- In 2025-26, Karel Vejmelka posted a .897 save percentage to Samuel Ersson's .870. Against our expected-goals model, Vejmelka saved +7.0 goals and Ersson −13.0. Confirm the starter on game day; workload and back-to-backs decide most goalie starts.
- Who is better, Karel Vejmelka or Samuel Ersson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Karel Vejmelka leads in 8 of 11 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Vejmelka and Ersson done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Vejmelka's team went 4–3.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →