2026 season · Week 5 · WR
Start London over Pickens in PPR. Projects 14.7 vs 14.3 PPR points; TB allows the 3rd-fewest WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal). In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
Drake LondonATLWRvs BAL14.7 PPR pts
Floor 5 · median 13.5 · ceiling 26
Projects 14.7 vs 14.3 PPR points; TB allows the 3rd-fewest WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal).
Medium
George PickensDALWRvs TB14.3 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 12.8 · ceiling 27
Projects 14.3 vs 14.7 PPR points; TB allows the 3rd-fewest WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal).
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartDrake London stats and usageGeorge Pickens stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start London over Pickens in PPR. Projects 14.7 vs 14.3 PPR points; TB allows the 3rd-fewest WR points (early-season DvP is a weak signal). In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
George Pickens: his 90th-percentile outcome is 27 PPR points against 26 for Drake London, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Drake London: a floor (10th percentile) of 5 PPR points vs 4, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: London 14.7, Pickens 14.3; half-PPR: London 12.1, Pickens 11.9; standard: London 9.5, Pickens 9.6 (points if he plays).
