14.7 PPR pts
Floor 5 · median 13.5 · ceiling 26
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 23.3 (fav by 3)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 21st
- Target share
- 30%▲3
Projects 14.7 vs 16.2 PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · WR
Start Wilson over London in PPR. Projects 16.2 vs 14.7 PPR points; 9.1 projected targets.
14.7 PPR pts
Floor 5 · median 13.5 · ceiling 26
Projects 14.7 vs 16.2 PPR points.
Medium16.2 PPR pts
Floor 6 · median 15.0 · ceiling 29
Projects 16.2 vs 14.7 PPR points; 9.1 projected targets.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartDrake London stats and usageGarrett Wilson stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Wilson over London in PPR. Projects 16.2 vs 14.7 PPR points; 9.1 projected targets.
Garrett Wilson: his 90th-percentile outcome is 29 PPR points against 26 for Drake London, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Garrett Wilson: a floor (10th percentile) of 6 PPR points vs 5, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: London 14.7, Wilson 16.2; half-PPR: London 12.1, Wilson 13.0; standard: London 9.5, Wilson 9.8 (points if he plays).