StartWR2 · #14
George PickensDALWRvs TB14.3 PPR pts
427
Floor 4 · median 12.8 · ceiling 27
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 28.5 (fav by 9.5)
- Matchup
- Tough · 3rd
- Target share
- 7%▼17
Projects 14.3 vs 13.9 PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · WR
George Pickens vs Jameson Williams: Who Should I Start in Week 5?
Start Pickens over Williams in PPR. Projects 14.3 vs 13.9 PPR points. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
Side-by-side comparison
Scoring
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Start Pickens over Williams in PPR
George PickensDALWRvs TBFlexWR2 · #16
Jameson WilliamsDETWR@ ARI13.9 PPR pts
426
Floor 4 · median 12.5 · ceiling 26
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 29.5 (fav by 4.5)
- Matchup
- Soft · 29th
- Target share
- 16%
Projects 13.9 vs 14.3 PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartGeorge Pickens stats and usageJameson Williams stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Related start/sit calls
How this works
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Should I start George Pickens or Jameson Williams in Week 5?
Start Pickens over Williams in PPR. Projects 14.3 vs 13.9 PPR points. In half-PPR scoring it is a toss-up. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
Who has the higher ceiling, George Pickens or Jameson Williams?
George Pickens: his 90th-percentile outcome is 27 PPR points against 26 for Jameson Williams, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Who is the safer start, George Pickens or Jameson Williams?
George Pickens: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 4, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
What are George Pickens's and Jameson Williams's Week 5 projections?
PPR: Pickens 14.3, Williams 13.9; half-PPR: Pickens 11.9, Williams 11.7; standard: Pickens 9.6, Williams 9.6 (points if he plays).