2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Toss-up between Croskey-Merritt and Allgeier in PPR. Too close to call: 8.6 vs 8.4 projected PPR points; NYG allows the 7th-most RB points. In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Croskey-Merritt. In standard scoring the call flips to Croskey-Merritt.
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASRBvs NYG9.9 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 8.8 · ceiling 19
Too close to call: 8.6 vs 8.4 projected PPR points; NYG allows the 7th-most RB points.
Low
Tyler AllgeierARIRBvs DET9.6 PPR pts
Floor 2 · median 8.5 · ceiling 18
Too close to call: 8.4 vs 8.6 projected PPR points; NYG allows the 7th-most RB points.
LowAdd more players in Who Should I StartJacory Croskey-Merritt stats and usageTyler Allgeier stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Croskey-Merritt and Allgeier in PPR. Too close to call: 8.6 vs 8.4 projected PPR points; NYG allows the 7th-most RB points. In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Croskey-Merritt. In standard scoring the call flips to Croskey-Merritt.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: his 90th-percentile outcome is 19 PPR points against 18 for Tyler Allgeier, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 2, and a 87% chance to play vs 87%.
PPR: Croskey-Merritt 9.9, Allgeier 9.6; half-PPR: Croskey-Merritt 9.4, Allgeier 8.7; standard: Croskey-Merritt 8.9, Allgeier 7.8 (points if he plays).
