2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Toss-up between Love and Pollard in PPR. Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.4 projected PPR points; a 25.0 implied team total vs 16.0; HOU allows the 3rd-fewest RB points.
Jeremiyah LoveARIRBvs DET12.2 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 11.1 · ceiling 22
Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.4 projected PPR points; a 25.0 implied team total vs 16.0; HOU allows the 3rd-fewest RB points.
Medium
Tony PollardTENRBvs HOU10.6 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.6 · ceiling 19
Too close to call: 10.4 vs 10.6 projected PPR points; a 16.0 implied team total vs 25.0; HOU allows the 3rd-fewest RB points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartJeremiyah Love stats and usageTony Pollard stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Love and Pollard in PPR. Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.4 projected PPR points; a 25.0 implied team total vs 16.0; HOU allows the 3rd-fewest RB points.
Jeremiyah Love: his 90th-percentile outcome is 22 PPR points against 19 for Tony Pollard, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Jeremiyah Love: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 3, and a 87% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Love 12.2, Pollard 10.6; half-PPR: Love 11.1, Pollard 9.7; standard: Love 10.1, Pollard 8.8 (points if he plays).
