10.7 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.7 · ceiling 19
- Plays
- 87%
- Implied total
- 24.3 (fav by 3)
- Matchup
- Soft · 25th
- Snap share
- 54%▲18
Expected 9.3 vs 10.4 PPR points after the chance to play.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Start Pollard over Monangai in PPR. Expected 10.4 vs 9.3 PPR points after the chance to play; 15.4 projected carries. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
10.7 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.7 · ceiling 19
Expected 9.3 vs 10.4 PPR points after the chance to play.
Medium10.6 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.6 · ceiling 19
Expected 10.4 vs 9.3 PPR points after the chance to play; 15.4 projected carries.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartKyle Monangai stats and usageTony Pollard stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Start Pollard over Monangai in PPR. Expected 10.4 vs 9.3 PPR points after the chance to play; 15.4 projected carries. In standard scoring it is a toss-up.
Tony Pollard: his 90th-percentile outcome is 19 PPR points against 19 for Kyle Monangai, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Tony Pollard: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 87%.
PPR: Monangai 10.7, Pollard 10.6; half-PPR: Monangai 10.2, Pollard 9.7; standard: Monangai 9.7, Pollard 8.8 (points if he plays).