2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Toss-up between Love and Barkley in PPR. Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.6 projected PPR points; a 25.0 implied team total vs 18.0; JAX allows the 5th-fewest RB points.
Jeremiyah LoveARIRBvs DET12.2 PPR pts
Floor 4 · median 11.1 · ceiling 22
Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.6 projected PPR points; a 25.0 implied team total vs 18.0; JAX allows the 5th-fewest RB points.
Low
Saquon BarkleyPHIRB@ JAX10.9 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.8 · ceiling 20
Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.6 projected PPR points; a 18.0 implied team total vs 25.0; JAX allows the 5th-fewest RB points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartJeremiyah Love stats and usageSaquon Barkley stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Love and Barkley in PPR. Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.6 projected PPR points; a 25.0 implied team total vs 18.0; JAX allows the 5th-fewest RB points.
Jeremiyah Love: his 90th-percentile outcome is 22 PPR points against 20 for Saquon Barkley, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Jeremiyah Love: a floor (10th percentile) of 4 PPR points vs 3, and a 87% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Love 12.2, Barkley 10.9; half-PPR: Love 11.1, Barkley 10.0; standard: Love 10.1, Barkley 9.1 (points if he plays).
