2026 season · Week 5 · RB
Toss-up between Hampton and Barkley in PPR. Too close to call: 10.7 vs 10.6 projected PPR points; Hampton's snap share has fallen 2 straight weeks (63% → 35%); JAX allows the 5th-fewest RB points.
Omarion HamptonLACRBvs DEN10.9 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.7 · ceiling 20
Too close to call: 10.7 vs 10.6 projected PPR points; Hampton's snap share has fallen 2 straight weeks (63% → 35%); JAX allows the 5th-fewest RB points.
Medium
Saquon BarkleyPHIRB@ JAX10.9 PPR pts
Floor 3 · median 9.8 · ceiling 20
Too close to call: 10.6 vs 10.7 projected PPR points; Hampton's snap share has fallen 2 straight weeks (63% → 35%); JAX allows the 5th-fewest RB points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartOmarion Hampton stats and usageSaquon Barkley stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Toss-up between Hampton and Barkley in PPR. Too close to call: 10.7 vs 10.6 projected PPR points; Hampton's snap share has fallen 2 straight weeks (63% → 35%); JAX allows the 5th-fewest RB points.
Omarion Hampton: his 90th-percentile outcome is 20 PPR points against 20 for Saquon Barkley, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Saquon Barkley: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
PPR: Hampton 10.9, Barkley 10.9; half-PPR: Hampton 10.1, Barkley 10.0; standard: Hampton 9.3, Barkley 9.1 (points if he plays).
