StartWR3 · #25tie
Jordan AddisonMINWR@ NO11.8 PPR pts
322
Floor 3 · median 10.6 · ceiling 22
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 22.0 (fav by 1.5)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 13th
- Target share
- 18%▼5
Too close to call: 11.5 vs 11.6 projected PPR points.
Medium2026 season · Week 5 · WR
Jordan Addison vs Malik Nabers: Who Should I Start in Week 5?
Toss-up between Addison and Nabers in PPR. Too close to call: 11.5 vs 11.6 projected PPR points. In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Addison. In standard scoring the call flips to Addison.
Side-by-side comparison
Scoring
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Toss-up between Addison and Nabers in PPR
Jordan AddisonMINWR@ NOStartWR2 · #24tie
Malik NabersNYGWR@ WAS11.8 PPR pts
322
Floor 3 · median 10.8 · ceiling 22
- Plays
- 98%
- Implied total
- 20.3 (dog by 3)
- Matchup
- Neutral · 23rd
- Target share
- 24%
Too close to call: 11.6 vs 11.5 projected PPR points.
MediumAdd more players in Who Should I StartJordan Addison stats and usageMalik Nabers stats and usageAll Week 5 projections
Related start/sit calls
How this works
Both players come from the same weekly projection: a mean and an 80% range from 2,000 simulated games, scored in your format, and the chance he plays. Start goes to the higher expected points (chance to play × projection); within 10% is a Flex-level close call. The tier ranks each player against everyone at his position this week. Reasons are templates filled with the model's numbers.
Updated Tue, Oct 6, 2:39 PM ETFull methodology
Frequently asked questions
Should I start Jordan Addison or Malik Nabers in Week 5?
Toss-up between Addison and Nabers in PPR. Too close to call: 11.5 vs 11.6 projected PPR points. In half-PPR scoring the call flips to Addison. In standard scoring the call flips to Addison.
Who has the higher ceiling, Jordan Addison or Malik Nabers?
Jordan Addison: his 90th-percentile outcome is 22 PPR points against 22 for Malik Nabers, from 2,000 simulated games each.
Who is the safer start, Jordan Addison or Malik Nabers?
Malik Nabers: a floor (10th percentile) of 3 PPR points vs 3, and a 98% chance to play vs 98%.
What are Jordan Addison's and Malik Nabers's Week 5 projections?
PPR: Addison 11.8, Nabers 11.8; half-PPR: Addison 9.8, Nabers 9.5; standard: Addison 7.8, Nabers 7.2 (points if he plays).