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2026 season · Week 4 · Backup RB rotation

RB Roulette Week 4: Which Backup RB to Pick Up, and When

One bench spot, a new backup running back for every kickoff window. Add the next man up before his game, drop him after it, and if a starter goes down you already own the replacement. Below: Week 4’s picks on a timeline, the rotation by kickoff and how the picks have graded this season.

Picks by Running Back Roulette (our sister site). Get its free Wheel Watch emails before every window at runningbackroulette.com.

When to pick up each back

32 backup running backs across 6 kickoff windows, Week 4. Each row: the window to add him for (hairline, ending at his kickoff) and the hold through his game (bar). 12 of 32 graded picks hit.
  • Add window (ends at his kickoff)
  • Workload hit (12+ touches)
  • Touchdown hit
  • Involved (8–11 touches)
  • No hit

Thursday Night · Thu 8:15 PM ET

  • CLE
    behind Quinshon Judkins · 1% rostered · 45% confidence
    Add by Thu 8:15 PM ET · drop after ~11:30 PM
    No hit: 2 carries, 2 catches
  • PIT
    behind Jaylen Warren · 0% rostered · 40% confidence
    Add by Thu 8:15 PM ET · drop after ~11:30 PM
    No hit: 2 carries, 0 catches

Sunday Morning (International) · Sun 9:30 AM ET

  • IND
    behind Jonathan Taylor · 1% rostered · 55% confidence
    Add by Sun 9:30 AM ET · drop after ~12:45 PM
    No hit: 6 carries, 1 catch
  • WAS
    behind Jacory Croskey-Merritt · 1% rostered · 45% confidence
    Add by Sun 9:30 AM ET · drop after ~12:45 PM
    No hit: 3 carries, 0 catches

Sunday Early · Sun 1:00 PM ET

  • NE
    behind Rhamondre Stevenson · 90% rostered · 85% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    Workload hit: 14 carries, 0 catches
  • TB
    behind Bucky Irving · 67% rostered · 75% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    Touchdown hit: 3 carries, 2 catches, 1 TD
  • LAR
    behind Kyren Williams · 72% rostered · 85% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    No hit: 5 carries, 1 catch
  • HOU
    behind David Montgomery · 52% rostered · 80% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    Touchdown hit: 6 carries, 0 catches, 1 TD
  • PHI
    behind Saquon Barkley · 16% rostered · 70% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    Workload hit: 14 carries, 0 catches
  • ARI
    behind Jeremiyah Love · 28% rostered · 70% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    Touchdown hit: 8 carries, 2 catches, 1 TD
  • NYG
    behind Cam Skattebo · 8% rostered · 45% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    Useful involvement: 9 carries, 0 catches
  • CHI
    behind D'Andre Swift · 77% rostered · 80% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    Workload hit: 30 carries, 1 catch, 2 TD
  • NYJ
    behind Braelon Allen · 8% rostered · 50% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    No hit: 0 carries, 0 catches
  • GB
    behind Kaleb Johnson · 50% rostered · 45% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    Workload hit: 7 carries, 5 catches
  • JAX
    behind Bhayshul Tuten · 17% rostered · 65% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    Touchdown hit: 6 carries, 0 catches, 1 TD
  • BAL
    behind Derrick Henry · 12% rostered · 55% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    No hit: 1 carry, 2 catches
  • BUF
    behind James Cook III · 5% rostered · 50% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    No hit: 1 carry, 1 catch
  • DAL
    behind Javonte Williams · 0% rostered · 50% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    No hit: 3 carries, 0 catches
  • TEN
    behind Tony Pollard · 41% rostered · 55% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    No hit: 2 carries, 1 catch
  • CIN
    behind Chase Brown · 8% rostered · 50% confidence
    Add by Sun 1:00 PM ET · drop after ~4:15 PM
    No hit: 3 carries, 0 catches

Sunday Late · Sun 4:05 PM ET

  • DEN
    behind J.K. Dobbins · 71% rostered · 72% confidence
    Add by Sun 4:25 PM ET · drop after ~7:40 PM
    Workload hit: 7 carries, 10 catches
  • SF
    behind Christian McCaffrey · 35% rostered · 74% confidence
    Add by Sun 4:25 PM ET · drop after ~7:40 PM
    No hit: 6 carries, 0 catches
  • MIA
    behind Jaylen Wright · 62% rostered · 66% confidence
    Add by Sun 4:05 PM ET · drop after ~7:20 PM
    Touchdown hit: 9 carries, 2 catches, 1 TD
  • LV
    behind Ashton Jeanty · 21% rostered · 66% confidence
    Add by Sun 4:25 PM ET · drop after ~7:40 PM
    Useful involvement: 9 carries, 1 catch
  • KC
    behind Kenneth Walker III · 20% rostered · 60% confidence
    Add by Sun 4:25 PM ET · drop after ~7:40 PM
    No hit: 0 carries, 1 catch
  • LAC
    behind Omarion Hampton · 1% rostered · 42% confidence
    Add by Sun 4:25 PM ET · drop after ~7:40 PM
    Touchdown hit: 5 carries, 2 catches, 1 TD
  • MIN
    behind Aaron Jones Sr. · 0% rostered · 45% confidence
    Add by Sun 4:05 PM ET · drop after ~7:20 PM
    No hit: 0 carries, 1 catch
  • SEA
    behind Emanuel Wilson · 15% rostered · 60% confidence
    Add by Sun 4:25 PM ET · drop after ~7:40 PM
    Useful involvement: 7 carries, 1 catch

Sunday Night · Sun 8:20 PM ET

  • CAR
    behind Chuba Hubbard · 1% rostered · 60% confidence
    Add by Sun 8:20 PM ET · drop after ~11:35 PM
    No hit: 5 carries, 1 catch
  • DET
    behind Jahmyr Gibbs · 1% rostered · 45% confidence
    Add by Sun 8:20 PM ET · drop after ~11:35 PM
    No hit: 0 carries, 1 catch

Monday Night · Mon 8:15 PM ET

  • NO
    behind Alvin Kamara · 17% rostered · 50% confidence
    Add by Mon 8:15 PM ET · drop after ~11:30 PM
    Useful involvement: 6 carries, 2 catches
  • ATL
    behind Bijan Robinson · 27% rostered · 78% confidence
    Add by Mon 8:15 PM ET · drop after ~11:30 PM
    Workload hit: 14 carries, 1 catch, 3 TD

The rotation, by kickoff

The back to hold in each window (Running Back Roulette’s top stash), with the next-best options if he is taken.

  1. Thursday Night
    Thu 8:15 PM ET · Done
    CLERaheim Sandersbehind Quinshon Judkins · 1% rostered
    No hit: 2 carries, 2 catches

    Sanders leads a thin committee behind Judkins

    If he’s taken: Travis Homer (PIT, 0%)

  2. Sunday Morning (International)
    Sun 9:30 AM ET · Done
    INDSeth McGowanbehind Jonathan Taylor · 1% rostered
    No hit: 6 carries, 1 catch

    Giddens inactive leaves McGowan alone behind Taylor

    If he’s taken: Kaytron Allen (WAS, 1%)

  3. Sunday Early
    Sun 1:00 PM ET · Done
    NETreVeyon Hendersonbehind Rhamondre Stevenson · 90% rostered
    Workload hit: 14 carries, 0 catches

    Henderson is the obvious lead if Stevenson sits

    If he’s taken: Kenny Gainwell (TB, 67%), Blake Corum (LAR, 72%)

  4. Sunday Late
    Sun 4:05 PM ET · Done
    DENRJ Harveybehind J.K. Dobbins · 71% rostered
    Workload hit: 7 carries, 10 catches

    Harvey is the clearest handcuff in Denver

    If he’s taken: Kaelon Black (SF, 35%), Ollie Gordon II (MIA, 62%)

  5. Sunday Night
    Sun 8:20 PM ET · Done
    CARAJ Dillonbehind Chuba Hubbard · 1% rostered
    No hit: 5 carries, 1 catch

    Dillon is the only healthy back behind Hubbard

    If he’s taken: Sione Vaki (DET, 1%)

  6. Monday Night
    Mon 8:15 PM ET · Done
    NOKendre Millerbehind Alvin Kamara · 17% rostered
    Useful involvement: 6 carries, 2 catches

    Coach tabbed Miller to share the load with Kamara

    If he’s taken: Brian Robinson Jr. (ATL, 27%)

Track record, 2026

Every pick graded against the box score, misses included, from the board as it stood at kickoff. Pick-by-pick record on runningbackroulette.com.

Season hit rate

26%

33 hits from 126 graded picks

20 workload hits (12+ carries plus catches)

  • Workload hit (12+ touches)
  • Touchdown hit
  • Involved (8–11 touches)
  • No hit
5/30
W1
10/32
W2
6/32
W3
12/32
W4
RB Roulette picks graded by week
WeekWorkloadTDInvolvedNo hitHits / graded
Week 1417185 / 30
Week 29122010 / 32
Week 3157196 / 32
Week 46641612 / 32

How RB Roulette works

  1. Keep one bench spot open for the rotation.
  2. Before the next kickoff window, add that window’s back (the “Do this now” pick). He locks at his own kickoff.
  3. Hold him through his game. If his starter gets hurt, you own the replacement before waivers run.
  4. After his game, drop him (unless he just won the job) and add the next window’s back.

It needs a league with free agency during the week. Pair it with our waiver wire rankings and the injury report.

How this works

Picks, confidence and rostered % come from Running Back Roulette’s published boards, copied hourly. Before a window kicks off we show its newest board; once it kicks off, the board as it stood at kickoff. The rotation back for a window is its highest-ranked stash. Add-by times are each player’s own kickoff; drop-after times assume a 3 h 15 min game.

Grades use Running Back Roulette’s rules: 12+ carries plus catches = workload hit; a touchdown on fewer touches = touchdown hit; 8–11 touches = involved; less = no hit. A pick is graded four hours after kickoff, once the box score has landed.

Sources: Running Back Roulette, ESPN rostered %, nflverse box scores (via RBR)Updated Tue, Oct 6, 5:45 PM ET

Frequently asked questions

What is RB Roulette?

A way to use one bench spot all week. Before each kickoff window (Thursday night, Sunday morning, early and late Sunday, Sunday night, Monday night), pick up the backup running back who would take over if the starter in that game got hurt. Drop him after his game and add the next window’s back. If a starter goes down, you already own his replacement.

Who picks the backs?

Running Back Roulette (runningbackroulette.com), our sister site. It ranks every backfield’s next man up from depth charts, injury reports and usage, and publishes a board before each window. We copy that board here; the picks are theirs.

When do I add and drop each player?

Add him after the previous window’s back has finished playing and before his own kickoff, when he locks. Drop him once his game ends (about three and a quarter hours after kickoff), unless he just earned a bigger role: then keep him and skip the next window.

Does this work in my league?

Only if your league lets you add free agents during the week without a waiver claim (free agency after waivers clear). Leagues with waivers on every drop, or with daily lineup locks on all players, make the rotation slower or impossible. Check your platform’s settings first.

How are the picks graded?

With Running Back Roulette’s own rules, against the box score: 12 or more carries plus catches is a workload hit, a rushing or receiving touchdown on fewer touches is a touchdown hit, 8 to 11 touches is useful involvement (not a hit), and anything less is no hit. Only the board published before kickoff is graded.

Why is the hit rate so low?

A backup only pays off in the week the starter ahead of him misses time, and most starters play most weeks. The point is to own the replacement before everyone else, not to start the backup every week.