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Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Wednesday, Apr 15

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Wednesday, Apr 15 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: CHI PP1 (Teravainen–Bertuzzi–Nazar–Bedard–Frondell) vs SJS.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1CHIPP1vs SJS0.75 xG

    Teuvo Teravainen11%, Tyler Bertuzzi56%, Frank Nazar50%, Connor Bedard97%, Anton Frondell69%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2SJSL2vs CHI0.65 xG

    Will Smith96%, Macklin Celebrini100%, Igor Chernyshov54%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3DALL1vs BUF0.57 xG

    Matt Duchene58%, Jason Robertson100%, Mavrik Bourque33%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4BUFL1vs DAL0.56 xG

    Alex Tuch94%, Tage Thompson100%, Peyton Krebs17%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5BUFL2vs DAL0.54 xG

    Jason Zucker22%, Ryan McLeod24%, Jack Quinn51%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6DETL2vs FLA0.53 xG

    Patrick Kane75%, Andrew Copp9.2%, Alex DeBrincat99%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7VGKPP1vs SEA0.52 xG

    Mark Stone93%, Tomas Hertl85%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%, Pavel Dorofeyev93%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8BUFL3vs DAL0.51 xG

    Josh Norris37%, Josh Doan59%, Zach Benson55%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9CHIL1vs SJS0.48 xG

    Tyler Bertuzzi56%, Ilya Mikheyev7.5%, Anton Frondell69%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10SEAL1vs VGK0.47 xG

    Jordan Eberle39%, Bobby McMann47%, Matty Beniers51%

    Matchup factors →

By game

DAL @ BUF

NYR @ TBL

DET @ FLA

TOR @ OTT

SJS @ CHI

SEA @ VGK

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.