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Fantasy tools

Stack Finder: best line and PP1 stacks for Wednesday, Jun 17

Every forward line and first power-play unit on the Wednesday, Jun 17 slate, ranked by expected goals tonight against the opponent's defense, penalty kill and likely goalie. Top stack: VGK PP1 (Stone–Hertl–Eichel–Marner–Dorofeyev) vs CAR.

Data updated:

Stacks with a player who is

Top 10 stacks

  1. #1VGKPP1vs CAR0.74 xG

    Mark Stone93%, Tomas Hertl84%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%

    Matchup factors →
  2. #2CARL1vs VGK0.57 xG

    Taylor Hall25%, Logan Stankoven65%, Jackson Blake69%

    Matchup factors →
  3. #3CARPP1vs VGK0.34 xG

    Shayne Gostisbehere95%, Nikolaj Ehlers92%, Sebastian Aho99%, Andrei Svechnikov97%, Seth Jarvis94%

    Matchup factors →
  4. #4CARL2vs VGK0.33 xG

    Jordan Staal19%, Nikolaj Ehlers92%, Seth Jarvis94%

    Matchup factors →
  5. #5CARL3vs VGK0.30 xG

    Jordan Martinook4.3%, Sebastian Aho99%, Andrei Svechnikov97%

    Matchup factors →
  6. #6VGKL1vs CAR0.23 xG

    Mark Stone93%, Jack Eichel99%, Mitch Marner99%

    Matchup factors →
  7. #7CARL4vs VGK0.22 xG

    Mark Jankowski0.2%, William Carrier3.3%, Eric Robinson0.1%

    Matchup factors →
  8. #8VGKL2vs CAR0.04 xG

    Nic Dowd3.2%, Keegan Kolesar5.1%, Cole Smith0.1%

    Matchup factors →
  9. #9VGKL3vs CAR0.04 xG

    Tomas Hertl84%, Colton Sissons3.3%, Pavel Dorofeyev92%

    Matchup factors →
  10. #10VGKL4vs CAR0.01 xG

    William Karlsson21%, Ivan Barbashev66%, Brett Howden15%

    Matchup factors →

By game

VGK @ CAR

How it works

  1. Lines and PP1 come from each team's last three games of shift data: the forward trio with the most 5-on-5 time together, and the power-play five with the most time together.
  2. Unit strength is expected goals for per 60 minutes, recent games plus the season, shrunk toward league average so a hot two-game sample does not dominate.
  3. Matchup: the opponent's 5-on-5 expected goals against per 60 (for lines) or its penalty-kill rate and shorthanded minutes (for PP1), relative to the league.
  4. Goalie: the likely opposing starter from our goalie start model, weighted by probability, with his save % shrunk toward league average; shot-class save % when available.
  5. Stack score = rate × minutes × P(unit intact) × matchup × goalie, in expected goals for tonight, so lines and power plays rank on one scale.

Methodology: How we detect lines · Expected goals · Goalie shot classes · Goalie start model

Frequently asked questions

What is a stack in fantasy hockey?

A stack is a group of teammates who play together, usually a forward line or the first power-play unit, so one goal pays several of your players at once. It is the main strategy in daily fantasy hockey.

How are stacks ranked?

Each unit gets an expected-goals number for tonight: how many chances it creates per 60 minutes (recent games plus season, shrunk toward league average), how many minutes it plays, how likely it is to stay together, how leaky the opponent is at 5-on-5 or shorthanded, and how good the likely opposing goalie is.

Where do the lines come from?

From the NHL shift charts of each team's last three games: the three forwards who share the most 5-on-5 ice time form a line, and the five skaters with the most power-play time together form PP1.

Why does it say "shot-based"?

While a season is being reprocessed with our expected-goals model, unit rates fall back to shots on goal times a league-average 0.075 xG per shot. The ranking logic is the same.