TE · Houston Texans
Zaire Mitchell-Paden fantasy stats and usage
- Team
- HOUTE
- Age
- 27
- Bye
- Week 8
- Status
- No injury designation
More
Next: Week 6 @ JAX, Sun 9:30 AM ET; Texans implied for 20.25 points
Matchup edges: none this week. None of the 18 matchup angles we tested for TEs (blitz, man coverage, two-high shells, boxes, play action and more) predicted points beyond our projection. See the tests and track record
Matchup edge history (13 calls)
- Starters out on defense edge: 1–1 for him in backtests
- Dome team outdoors edge: 0–1 for him in backtests
- Wind 15+ mph edge: 1–1 for him in backtests
| Week | Call | Proj → actual | Result | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W2 | Fade (Dome team outdoors vs BAL, expected +0.3) | 0.6 → – | void | Backtest (after the fact) |
| 2025 W15 | Boost (Starters out on defense vs CAR, expected +0.0) | 0.9 → – | void | Backtest |
| 2025 W14 | Fade (Dome team outdoors vs TB, expected +0.4) | 1.0 → – | void | Backtest |
| 2025 W13 | Boost (Starters out on defense vs MIA, expected +0.0) | 0.8 → – | void | Backtest |
| 2025 W13 | Fade (Dome team outdoors vs MIA, expected +0.4) | 0.8 → – | void | Backtest |
| 2025 W10 | Fade (Dome team outdoors vs CAR, expected +0.4) | 0.7 → 2.4 | ❌ | Backtest |
| 2025 W10 | Fade (Wind 15+ mph vs CAR, expected +0.5) | 0.7 → 2.4 | ❌ | Backtest |
| 2025 W8 | Boost (Starters out on defense vs TB, expected +0.0) | 0.6 → – | void | Backtest |
| 2025 W7 | Boost (Starters out on defense vs CHI, expected +0.0) | 0.5 → – | void | Backtest |
| 2025 W7 | Fade (Dome team outdoors vs CHI, expected +0.4) | 0.5 → – | void | Backtest |
| 2025 W6 | Boost (Starters out on defense vs LAR, expected +0.0) | 0.8 → 0.0 | ❌ | Backtest |
| 2025 W6 | Fade (Wind 15+ mph vs LAR, expected +0.5) | 0.8 → 0.0 | ✅ | Backtest |
Usage by week
2026 season2025 season
Share of team dropbacks he was on the field for. nflverse participation data stops after 2025, so 2026 is blank.
Carries / team rush attempts.
2026: 0 targets, 0 carries, 0 red-zone opportunities and 0 goal-line carries in 0 games.
Projection
No projection published for Zaire Mitchell-Paden yet.
Latest news
No recent headlines tagged to Zaire Mitchell-Paden.
Game log
Regular season. Fantasy points are calculated from the box score in the scoring format you pick above.
- Games
- 8
- Total (PPR)
- 3.7
- Per game
- 0.5
| Opp | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ BUF | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | vs CLE | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 3 | vs DET | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | @ KC | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | vs HOU | 28% | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| 6 | vs LAR | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 10 | @ CAR | 38% | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 |
| 12 | vs ATL | 9% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Splits
Fantasy points per game at home vs away, and against defenses grouped by how many points they allowed to TEs that season (simple season averages, not adjusted for schedule).
2025: home vs away
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5 | 0.3 | -0.2 |
| Away | 3 | 0.8 | +0.3 |
2025: by opponent defense vs TE
| Split | G | PPR/G | vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tough defenses (ranks 1–8) | 3 | 0.0 | -0.5 |
| Middle defenses (9–24) | 5 | 0.7 | +0.3 |
| Soft defenses (25–32) | 0 | – | – |
How this works
Snap share is the share of the Texans’ offensive snaps he played. Target share and air-yards share are his share of the team’s targets and air yards; carry share is his carries divided by team rush attempts. Red-zone opportunities count targets and carries inside the opponent’s 20; goal-line carries are inside the 5.
The “what changed” line compares the average of his last two games with the up to four games before them and only appears when snap share moves 10 points, target share 5 points or carry share 10 points. Route participation is approximated by the share of team dropbacks he was on the field for (nflverse participation data, available through 2025).
Sources: nflverse, Fantasy Nerds (news, adds/drops, interim projections, depth)
Frequently asked questions
How many fantasy points does Zaire Mitchell-Paden score per game in 2025?
Zaire Mitchell-Paden averages 0.5 PPR points per game over 8 games in 2025 (0.3 in half-PPR, 0.2 in standard scoring).
What is Zaire Mitchell-Paden’s snap share and role?
Zaire Mitchell-Paden has played 23% of the Houston Texans’ offensive snaps on average in 2025, with a 2% target share. He has 1 red-zone opportunities (targets plus carries) this season.
When is Zaire Mitchell-Paden’s bye week?
The Houston Texans have their bye in Week 8, so Zaire Mitchell-Paden won’t play that week.