Edgehalla

RB · LAC · 65 lines since 2023

Alec Ingold Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Alec Ingold, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 5% — we make it 13%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 1, under 5 (6 graded)
  • Receptions over 0, under 3 (3 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 1, under 52 (53 graded)
  • Longest reception over 0, under 2 (2 graded)

Our calls on him: model 5–22

Line vs actual vs our projection

Alec Ingold prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 5%–…
2026 W4Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 3%0under
2026 W3Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 4%0under
2026 W2Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 4%0under
2026 W1Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 4%0under
2025 W18Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 4%0under
2025 W17Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 5%0under
2025 W16Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 6%0under
2025 W15Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 4%0under
2025 W14Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 5%0under
2025 W13Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 6%0under
2025 W11Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 6%0under
2025 W10Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 6%0under
2025 W9Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 6%0under
2025 W9Long rec3.5037% / 51%0under
2025 W9Rec yds3.5037% / 51%0under
2025 W9Rec0.5049% / 60%0under
2025 W8Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 5%0under
2025 W7Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 4%0under
2025 W6Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 5%0under
2025 W5Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 6%0under
2025 W4Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 5%0under
2025 W3Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 4%0under
2025 W3Long rec0.52.661% / 48%0under
2025 W3Rec yds0.52.861% / 47%0under
2025 W3Rec0.5162% / 51%0under
2025 W2Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 6%0under
2025 W1Any TD–22% TD chance22% / 4%0under
2024 W18Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2024 W17Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 4%0under
2024 W16Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 7%0under
2024 W15Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 8%0under
2024 W14Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 9%0under
2024 W13Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 7%0under
2024 W12Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 11%0under
2024 W9Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2024 W8Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 8%0under
2024 W7Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2024 W5Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 5%1over
2024 W4Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 5%0under
2024 W3Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 5%0under
2024 W2Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 7%0under
2024 W1Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 5%0under
2023 W18Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 7%0under
2023 W18Rec yds3.51.442% / 51%0under
2023 W17Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%0under
2023 W16Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 5%0under
2023 W15Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 6%0under
2023 W14Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 8%0under
2023 W14Rec yds3.5038% / 50%13over
2023 W13Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 8%0under
2023 W12Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 8%0under
2023 W12Rec yds3.51.042% / 49%0under
2023 W11Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 10%0under
2023 W9Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 9%0under
2023 W8Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 8%0under
2023 W7Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2023 W6Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 7%0under
2023 W5Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 9%0under
2023 W4Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 9%0under
2023 W3Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 9%0under
2023 W2Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 10%0under
2023 W2Rec yds5.54.848% / 49%0under
2023 W2Rec0.5169% / 62%0under
2023 W1Any TD––– / 6%0under

Our calls

  • 2026 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2025 W18 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W17 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W9 Under 3.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W9 Under 3.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W9 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W6 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W5 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W3 Over 0.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W3 Over 0.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W3 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W18 Under 3.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W14 Under 3.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W13 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W12 Under 3.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W2 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology