Edgehalla

TE · IND · 78 lines since 2023

Andrew Ogletree Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Andrew Ogletree, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 4% — we make it 3%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 2, under 6 (8 graded)
  • Receptions over 0, under 8 (8 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 6, under 54 (60 graded)

Our calls on him: model 4–2 · Dome team outdoors 1–0

Line vs actual vs our projection

Andrew Ogletree prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 4%–…
2026 W4Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 5%0under
2026 W3Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2026 W2Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 3%0under
2026 W1Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 5%0under
2025 W16Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 4%0under
2025 W15Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 3%0under
2025 W14Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2025 W13Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 8%0under
2025 W12Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 5%1over
2025 W10Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 6%0under
2025 W9Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 7%0under
2025 W8Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 6%0under
2025 W7Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 5%0under
2025 W6Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 6%0under
2025 W5Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 5%0under
2025 W4Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 5%0under
2025 W3Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 4%0under
2025 W2Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 5%0under
2025 W1Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 4%0under
2024 W18Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 11%0under
2024 W17Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 11%0under
2024 W16Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 9%0under
2024 W15Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 6%0under
2024 W13Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%0under
2024 W12Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 7%0under
2024 W11Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 6%0under
2024 W10Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 9%0under
2024 W9Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 8%0under
2024 W8Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 7%0under
2024 W7Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 7%0under
2024 W6Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 7%0under
2024 W5Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 7%0under
2024 W4Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 6%1over
2024 W3Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2024 W2Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2024 W1Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 9%0under
2023 W17Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 10%–void
2023 W16Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 12%0under
2023 W16Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 10%0under
2023 W15Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 11%0under
2023 W15Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 11%0under
2023 W15Rec yds5.55.249% / 50%0under
2023 W15Rec yds5.55.249% / 49%0under
2023 W15Rec0.5161% / 58%0under
2023 W15Rec0.5161% / 58%0under
2023 W14Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 12%0under
2023 W14Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 11%0under
2023 W13Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 13%0under
2023 W13Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 12%0under
2023 W9Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 15%0under
2023 W9Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 13%0under
2023 W8Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 14%1over
2023 W8Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 21%1over
2023 W8Rec yds13.59.542% / 50%33over
2023 W8Rec yds13.59.542% / 51%33over
2023 W8Rec1.5142% / 50%1under
2023 W8Rec1.5142% / 51%1under
2023 W7Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 15%0under
2023 W7Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 13%0under
2023 W7Rec yds15.51141% / 51%0under
2023 W7Rec yds15.51141% / 50%0under
2023 W7Rec1.5149% / 61%0under
2023 W7Rec1.5149% / 61%0under
2023 W6Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 14%0under
2023 W6Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 12%0under
2023 W6Rec yds13.51144% / 51%0under
2023 W6Rec yds13.51144% / 50%0under
2023 W6Rec1.5251% / 51%0under
2023 W6Rec1.5251% / 51%0under
2023 W5Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 13%0under
2023 W5Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 10%0under
2023 W4Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 7%1over
2023 W4Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 8%1over
2023 W3Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 4%0under
2023 W3Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 8%0under
2023 W1Any TD––– / 8%0under
2023 W1Any TD––– / 10%0under

Our calls

  • 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W8 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W8 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W7 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W7 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W6 Under 13.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W6 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology