WR · WAS · 14 lines since 2023
Antonio Williams Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Antonio Williams, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 24% — we make it 23%
- Line 18.5 yds longest rec — we project 20 (P(over) 56%)
- Line 35.5 rec yds — we project 42 (P(over) 57%)
- Line 3.5 receptions — we project 4 (P(over) 52%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 1, under 2 (3 graded)
- Receptions over 3, under 0 (3 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 3 (4 graded)
Our calls on him: model 2–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 24% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 18.5 | 20 | 56% / 48% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 42 | 57% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 52% / 47% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 22 | 38% / 51% | 21 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 55% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 12 | 45% / 50% | 15 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 56% / 57% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 21 | 44% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 39% / 41% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 11% | 1 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 29.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology