RB · JAX · 93 lines since 2023
Bhayshul Tuten Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Bhayshul Tuten, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 52% — we make it 48%
- Line 7.5 yds longest rec — we project 4.4 (P(over) 37%)
- Line 9.5 rec yds — we project 4.9 (P(over) 37%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 1 (P(over) 35%)
- Line 14.5 rush attempts — we project 14 (P(over) 46%)
- Line 80.5 rush + rec yds — we project 72 (P(over) 41%)
- Line 65.5 rush yds — we project 62 (P(over) 47%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 9, under 9 (18 graded)
- Receiving yards over 9, under 6 (15 graded)
- Receptions over 7, under 7 (14 graded)
- Anytime TD over 9, under 10 (19 graded)
- Rush attempts over 3, under 9 (12 graded)
- Longest reception over 3, under 5 (8 graded)
Our calls on him: Big favourite (6.5+) 0–2 · Missed tackles 3–6 · Pre-snap motion 1–2 · model 31–30 · Red-zone defense 1–0 · Starters out on defense 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 48% TD chance | 48% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 7.5 | 4.4 | 37% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 4.9 | 37% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 35% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 14.5 | 14 | 46% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush+rec yds | 80.5 | 72 | 41% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 65.5 | 62 | 47% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 48% TD chance | 48% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 4.9 | 34% / 51% | 18 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 35% / 57% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 55.5 | 51 | 45% / 51% | 73 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 48% TD chance | 48% / 41% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 4.0 | 31% / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 29% / 51% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 51.5 | 51 | 49% / 50% | 73 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 36% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 0 | 23% / 51% | -3 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 0 | 15% / 49% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 48.5 | 28 | 22% / 50% | 65 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 1.1 | 24% / 49% | 22 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 21% / 56% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 45.5 | 30 | 29% / 51% | 66 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 28% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 0.5 | 0 | 41% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 41% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 42% / 53% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rush att | 5.5 | 4 | 36% / 49% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rush yds | 19.5 | 18 | 46% / 51% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 36% / 39% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 38% / 44% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 6.5 | 6 | 42% / 43% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 20.5 | 22 | 54% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 0.5 | 0 | 47% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 47% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 49% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rush att | 7.5 | 6 | 37% / 46% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 25.5 | 22 | 42% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 36% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 0.5 | 0 | 45% / 50% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 45% / 49% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 46% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 8.5 | 6 | 27% / 47% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 30.5 | 25 | 40% / 51% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 5.5 | 1.1 | 34% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 1.1 | 36% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 19% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 11.5 | 6 | 9% / 47% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 45.5 | 25 | 19% / 50% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 26% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 13 | 43% / 51% | 74 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 4.5 | 0 | 32% / 50% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 1.5 | 0 | 17% / 32% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 5.5 | 4 | 34% / 49% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 19.5 | 14 | 37% / 49% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 22% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 5.5 | 1.3 | 34% / 52% | -3 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 1.4 | 34% / 50% | -3 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 19% / 37% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 5.5 | 4 | 31% / 55% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 23.5 | 15 | 33% / 49% | 29 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 4.5 | 4 | 38% / 47% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 12 | 42% / 49% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 1 | 45% / 51% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 18.5 | 15 | 42% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 2.5 | 0.6 | 42% / 49% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 0.6 | 43% / 49% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 52% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 5.5 | 4 | 33% / 43% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 20.5 | 16 | 39% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 5.5 | 0 | 30% / 49% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 0 | 32% / 49% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 48% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 5.5 | 5 | 37% / 55% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 22.5 | 16 | 37% / 51% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 5.5 | 2.5 | 39% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 2.8 | 41% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 26% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 6.5 | 6 | 44% / 45% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 21.5 | 24 | 56% / 51% | 21 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 4.5 | 2 | 14% / 54% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 19.5 | 7.2 | 20% / 49% | 42 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 14% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Over 14.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W5 Over 60.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W5 Under 60.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W4 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Over 55.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 55.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 51.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Over 48.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 48.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Under 45.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 0.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 0.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 5.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 5.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 19.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 19.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 19.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 6.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 20.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 20.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 25.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 25.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 0.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 8.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 30.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 30.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 5.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 11.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 45.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 15.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 4.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 5.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 19.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 19.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 5.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 5.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 23.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 4.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 15.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 15.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 15.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology