RB · NYJ · 243 lines since 2023

Breece Hall Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Breece Hall, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

Anytime TD priced at 55% — we make it 51%

Over/under record by market

Rushing yards over 20, under 32 (52 graded)
Receiving yards over 28, under 23 (51 graded)
Receptions over 25, under 26 (51 graded)
Anytime TD over 23, under 33 (56 graded)
Rush attempts over 7, under 9 (16 graded)
Longest reception over 9, under 7 (16 graded)

Our calls on him: model 66–69 · Missed tackles 21–12 · Pre-snap motion 7–11 · Big underdog (6.5+) 5–2 · Starters out on defense 5–1 · Short week 2–2 · Screens 1–0 · Middle of the field 1–1 · Explosive plays 3–1

Line vs actual vs our projection

Breece Hall prop line history
Week	Market	Line	We projected	P(over) us / market	Actual	Result
2026 W5	Any TD	–	51% TD chance	51% / 55%	–	…
2026 W3	Any TD	–	51% TD chance	51% / 51%	0	under
2026 W3	Rec yds	21.5	17	40% / 50%	23	over
2026 W3	Rec	3.5	2	28% / 43%	3	under
2026 W3	Rush yds	60.5	60	49% / 50%	32	under
2026 W2	Any TD	–	49% TD chance	49% / 51%	0	under
2026 W2	Rec yds	18.5	9.0	27% / 50%	63	over
2026 W2	Rec	2.5	2	26% / 53%	5	over
2026 W2	Rush yds	63.5	64	51% / 50%	29	under
2026 W1	Any TD	–	57% TD chance	57% / 47%	1	over
2026 W1	Rec yds	20.5	16	40% / 50%	16	under
2026 W1	Rec	2.5	3	51% / 56%	2	under
2026 W1	Rush yds	63.5	69	55% / 50%	102	over
2025 W17	Any TD	–	35% TD chance	35% / 38%	1	over
2025 W17	Long rec	7.5	6.4	44% / 52%	21	over
2025 W17	Rec yds	11.5	8.9	41% / 50%	18	over
2025 W17	Rec	2.5	2	30% / 39%	2	under
2025 W17	Rush att	14.5	16	59% / 54%	14	under
2025 W17	Rush yds	59.5	50	37% / 49%	111	over
2025 W16	Any TD	–	39% TD chance	39% / 43%	0	under
2025 W16	Long rec	8.5	6.4	40% / 52%	10	over
2025 W16	Rec yds	14.5	8.3	34% / 49%	9	under
2025 W16	Rec	2.5	1	26% / 39%	2	under
2025 W16	Rush att	16.5	17	51% / 50%	16	under
2025 W16	Rush yds	61.5	54	41% / 50%	54	under
2025 W15	Any TD	–	32% TD chance	32% / 33%	0	under
2025 W15	Long rec	9.5	7.2	38% / 48%	9	under
2025 W15	Rec yds	15.5	11	36% / 49%	14	under
2025 W15	Rec	2.5	2	37% / 47%	2	under
2025 W15	Rush att	16.5	17	51% / 46%	12	under
2025 W15	Rush yds	59.5	50	39% / 50%	23	under
2025 W14	Any TD	–	46% TD chance	46% / 50%	0	under
2025 W14	Long rec	10.5	8.0	40% / 51%	0	under
2025 W14	Rec yds	19.5	11	32% / 50%	0	under
2025 W14	Rec	2.5	2	34% / 55%	0	under
2025 W14	Rush att	18.5	18	49% / 45%	14	under
2025 W14	Rush yds	71.5	71	50% / 51%	43	under
2025 W13	Any TD	–	43% TD chance	43% / 42%	1	over
2025 W13	Long rec	12.5	9.0	34% / 50%	13	over
2025 W13	Rec yds	22.5	13	29% / 50%	8	under
2025 W13	Rec	2.5	2	35% / 55%	2	under
2025 W13	Rush att	18.5	19	53% / 47%	19	over
2025 W13	Rush yds	72.5	72	49% / 50%	68	under
2025 W12	Any TD	–	33% TD chance	33% / 43%	0	under
2025 W12	Long rec	10.5	7.4	35% / 49%	40	over
2025 W12	Rec yds	18.5	11	31% / 51%	75	over
2025 W12	Rec	2.5	2	38% / 54%	4	over
2025 W12	Rush att	15.5	15	46% / 47%	16	over
2025 W12	Rush yds	63.5	52	35% / 50%	44	under
2025 W11	Any TD	–	36% TD chance	36% / 37%	0	under
2025 W11	Long rec	8.5	8.9	54% / 53%	8	under
2025 W11	Rec yds	14.5	14	49% / 50%	6	under
2025 W11	Rec	2.5	2	47% / 48%	2	under
2025 W11	Rush att	15.5	14	42% / 52%	14	under
2025 W11	Rush yds	58.5	52	42% / 50%	58	under
2025 W10	Any TD	–	43% TD chance	43% / 40%	1	over
2025 W10	Long rec	9.5	8.3	43% / 48%	42	over
2025 W10	Rec yds	14.5	12	44% / 49%	42	over
2025 W10	Rec	2.5	2	41% / 44%	1	under
2025 W10	Rush att	15.5	17	56% / 53%	21	over
2025 W10	Rush yds	62.5	67	55% / 49%	83	over
2025 W8	Any TD	–	48% TD chance	48% / 48%	1	over
2025 W8	Long rec	10.5	11	55% / 52%	11	over
2025 W8	Rec yds	20.5	20	50% / 49%	14	under
2025 W8	Rec	2.5	3	61% / 55%	2	under
2025 W8	Rush att	16.5	18	55% / 46%	18	over
2025 W8	Rush yds	68.5	68	50% / 50%	133	over
2025 W7	Any TD	–	48% TD chance	48% / 50%	0	under
2025 W7	Long rec	12.5	12	46% / 50%	8	under
2025 W7	Rec yds	23.5	21	44% / 49%	14	under
2025 W7	Rec	3.5	3	39% / 45%	2	under
2025 W7	Rush att	16.5	15	43% / 53%	11	under
2025 W7	Rush yds	68.5	63	44% / 50%	38	under
2025 W6	Any TD	–	42% TD chance	42% / 40%	0	under
2025 W6	Long rec	12.5	11	40% / 52%	0	under
2025 W6	Rec yds	26.5	19	36% / 50%	0	under
2025 W6	Rec	3.5	3	41% / 42%	0	under
2025 W6	Rush att	16.5	13	29% / 50%	22	over
2025 W6	Rush yds	71.5	52	31% / 50%	59	under
2025 W5	Any TD	–	49% TD chance	49% / 54%	0	under
2025 W5	Long rec	12.5	12	48% / 51%	16	over
2025 W5	Rec yds	25.5	21	41% / 49%	42	over
2025 W5	Rec	3.5	3	35% / 46%	4	over
2025 W5	Rush att	16.5	13	31% / 50%	14	under
2025 W5	Rush yds	69.5	61	42% / 50%	113	over
2025 W4	Any TD	–	46% TD chance	46% / 41%	0	under
2025 W4	Long rec	11.5	11	48% / 51%	8	under
2025 W4	Rec yds	21.5	19	45% / 50%	30	over
2025 W4	Rec	2.5	3	54% / 58%	5	over
2025 W4	Rush att	13.5	14	51% / 51%	14	over
2025 W4	Rush yds	56.5	54	47% / 51%	81	over
2025 W3	Any TD	–	44% TD chance	44% / 43%	0	under
2025 W3	Long rec	11.5	10	43% / 50%	12	over
2025 W3	Rec yds	22.5	18	40% / 51%	31	over
2025 W3	Rec	3.5	3	34% / 41%	4	over
2025 W3	Rush att	14.5	15	51% / 54%	9	under
2025 W3	Rush yds	58.5	56	46% / 51%	21	under
2025 W2	Any TD	–	43% TD chance	43% / 43%	0	under
2025 W2	Long rec	11.5	12	51% / 48%	7	under
2025 W2	Rec yds	19.5	20	51% / 50%	9	under
2025 W2	Rec	2.5	3	57% / 49%	2	under
2025 W2	Rush att	13.5	12	38% / 48%	10	under
2025 W2	Rush yds	62.5	50	37% / 50%	29	under
2025 W1	Any TD	–	48% TD chance	48% / 38%	0	under
2025 W1	Long rec	10.5	11	54% / 50%	33	over
2025 W1	Rec yds	18.5	24	62% / 51%	38	over
2025 W1	Rec	2.5	4	74% / 56%	2	under
2025 W1	Rush att	11.5	17	81% / 50%	19	over
2025 W1	Rush yds	44.5	60	70% / 49%	107	over
2024 W18	Any TD	–	43% TD chance	43% / 49%	1	over
2024 W18	Rec yds	18.5	16	44% / 50%	15	under
2024 W18	Rec	2.5	2	48% / 58%	3	over
2024 W18	Rush yds	51.5	49	48% / 49%	57	over
2024 W17	Any TD	–	36% TD chance	36% / 40%	0	under
2024 W17	Rec yds	24.5	17	35% / 51%	8	under
2024 W17	Rec	3.5	3	37% / 50%	1	under
2024 W17	Rush yds	51.5	44	40% / 50%	45	under
2024 W16	Any TD	–	44% TD chance	44% / 51%	0	under
2024 W16	Rec yds	19.5	18	46% / 50%	38	over
2024 W16	Rec	3.5	3	32% / 39%	5	over
2024 W16	Rush yds	49.5	54	56% / 49%	52	over
2024 W15	Any TD	–	48% TD chance	48% / 50%	1	over
2024 W15	Rec yds	20.5	17	43% / 49%	21	over
2024 W15	Rec	3.5	2	28% / 42%	2	under
2024 W15	Rush yds	43.5	61	71% / 48%	30	under
2024 W13	Any TD	–	49% TD chance	49% / 50%	0	under
2024 W13	Rec yds	27.5	21	37% / 50%	0	under
2024 W13	Rec	3.5	3	40% / 56%	0	under
2024 W13	Rush yds	54.5	63	59% / 49%	60	over
2024 W11	Any TD	–	49% TD chance	49% / 61%	1	over
2024 W11	Rec yds	28.5	24	43% / 50%	43	over
2024 W11	Rec	4.5	3	26% / 41%	7	over
2024 W11	Rush yds	70.5	70	49% / 52%	78	over
2024 W10	Any TD	–	50% TD chance	50% / 59%	0	under
2024 W10	Rec yds	29.5	23	40% / 50%	31	over
2024 W10	Rec	3.5	3	38% / 58%	4	over
2024 W10	Rush yds	67.5	66	49% / 49%	52	under
2024 W9	Any TD	–	50% TD chance	50% / 56%	0	under
2024 W9	Rec yds	30.5	23	35% / 48%	11	under
2024 W9	Rec	4.5	3	23% / 42%	2	under
2024 W9	Rush yds	68.5	59	40% / 50%	74	over
2024 W8	Any TD	–	52% TD chance	52% / 59%	0	under
2024 W8	Rec yds	29.5	26	44% / 51%	9	under
2024 W8	Rec	4.5	3	27% / 44%	1	under
2024 W8	Rush yds	75.5	63	37% / 50%	80	over
2024 W7	Any TD	–	48% TD chance	48% / 50%	1	over
2024 W7	Rec yds	25.5	22	42% / 50%	103	over
2024 W7	Rec	3.5	3	45% / 53%	6	over
2024 W7	Rush yds	61.5	57	46% / 50%	38	under
2024 W6	Any TD	–	47% TD chance	47% / 52%	0	under
2024 W6	Rec yds	26.5	21	39% / 51%	56	over
2024 W6	Rec	3.5	3	45% / 58%	5	over
2024 W6	Rush yds	58.5	50	39% / 51%	113	over
2024 W5	Any TD	–	46% TD chance	46% / 50%	0	under
2024 W5	Rec yds	27.5	24	43% / 51%	14	under
2024 W5	Rec	3.5	4	52% / 58%	3	under
2024 W5	Rush yds	49.5	47	47% / 49%	23	under
2024 W4	Any TD	–	49% TD chance	49% / 62%	0	under
2024 W4	Rec yds	29.5	22	37% / 50%	14	under
2024 W4	Rec	4.5	3	29% / 44%	2	under
2024 W4	Rush yds	65.5	60	45% / 50%	4	under
2024 W3	Any TD	–	54% TD chance	54% / 64%	1	over
2024 W3	Rec yds	31.5	27	43% / 52%	29	under
2024 W3	Rec	4.5	4	42% / 49%	4	under
2024 W3	Rush yds	62.5	71	58% / 50%	54	under
2024 W2	Any TD	–	57% TD chance	57% / 67%	1	over
2024 W2	Rec yds	29.5	24	39% / 50%	52	over
2024 W2	Rec	4.5	3	33% / 45%	7	over
2024 W2	Rush yds	74.5	77	53% / 50%	62	under
2024 W1	Any TD	–	49% TD chance	49% / 51%	1	over
2024 W1	Rec yds	28.5	24	41% / 52%	39	over
2024 W1	Rec	4.5	4	39% / 43%	5	over
2024 W1	Rush yds	62.5	63	50% / 50%	54	under
2023 W18	Any TD	–	30% TD chance	30% / 43%	1	over
2023 W18	Rec yds	31.5	22	29% / 49%	12	under
2023 W18	Rec	4.5	4	48% / 42%	2	under
2023 W18	Rush yds	52.5	42	36% / 50%	178	over
2023 W17	Any TD	–	31% TD chance	31% / 37%	1	over
2023 W17	Rec yds	30.5	22	34% / 51%	42	over
2023 W17	Rec	4.5	4	44% / 49%	9	over
2023 W17	Rush yds	44.5	38	41% / 50%	84	over
2023 W16	Any TD	–	40% TD chance	40% / 50%	1	over
2023 W16	Rec yds	27.5	23	40% / 50%	96	over
2023 W16	Rec	3.5	3	48% / 59%	12	over
2023 W16	Rush yds	47.5	52	55% / 50%	95	over
2023 W15	Any TD	–	28% TD chance	28% / 36%	0	under
2023 W15	Rec yds	26.5	20	36% / 50%	6	under
2023 W15	Rec	3.5	4	53% / 57%	1	under
2023 W15	Rush yds	41.5	35	40% / 50%	12	under
2023 W14	Any TD	–	27% TD chance	27% / 38%	1	over
2023 W14	Rec yds	22.5	16	34% / 51%	86	over
2023 W14	Rec	3.5	3	40% / 49%	8	over
2023 W14	Rush yds	45.5	45	49% / 50%	40	under
2023 W13	Any TD	–	36% TD chance	36% / 42%	0	under
2023 W13	Rec yds	27.5	16	25% / 49%	29	over
2023 W13	Rec	4.5	3	23% / 41%	6	over
2023 W13	Rush yds	52.5	53	50% / 50%	16	under
2023 W12	Any TD	–	28% TD chance	28% / 48%	0	under
2023 W12	Rec yds	24.5	15	30% / 50%	24	under
2023 W12	Rec	3.5	3	36% / 49%	7	over
2023 W12	Rush yds	50.5	43	41% / 51%	25	under
2023 W11	Any TD	–	29% TD chance	29% / 40%	1	over
2023 W11	Rec yds	25.5	16	28% / 51%	50	over
2023 W11	Rec	3.5	3	34% / 50%	5	over
2023 W11	Rush yds	55.5	52	45% / 49%	23	under
2023 W10	Any TD	–	34% TD chance	34% / 44%	0	under
2023 W10	Rec yds	18.5	14	41% / 50%	47	over
2023 W10	Rec	2.5	2	48% / 57%	3	over
2023 W10	Rush yds	68.5	68	50% / 52%	28	under
2023 W9	Any TD	–	33% TD chance	33% / 43%	0	under
2023 W9	Rec yds	23.5	20	44% / 50%	10	under
2023 W9	Rec	2.5	3	59% / 63%	4	over
2023 W9	Rush yds	60.5	57	45% / 51%	50	under
2023 W8	Any TD	–	35% TD chance	35% / 44%	1	over
2023 W8	Any TD	–	35% TD chance	35% / 1%	1	over
2023 W8	Rec yds	15.5	12	40% / 50%	76	over
2023 W8	Rec	2.5	2	38% / 51%	6	over
2023 W8	Rush yds	71.5	70	48% / 50%	17	under
2023 W6	Any TD	–	29% TD chance	29% / 3%	1	over
2023 W6	Any TD	–	29% TD chance	29% / 40%	1	over
2023 W6	Rec yds	13.5	10	40% / 50%	54	over
2023 W6	Rec	2.5	2	34% / 40%	5	over
2023 W6	Rush yds	52.5	59	59% / 51%	39	under
2023 W5	Any TD	–	40% TD chance	40% / 3%	1	over
2023 W5	Any TD	–	40% TD chance	40% / 43%	1	over
2023 W5	Rec yds	16.5	9.6	32% / 51%	17	over
2023 W5	Rec	1.5	2	52% / 59%	3	over
2023 W5	Rush yds	61.5	58	46% / 50%	177	over
2023 W4	Any TD	–	41% TD chance	41% / 31%	0	under
2023 W4	Rec yds	9.5	7.6	44% / 50%	13	over
2023 W4	Rec	1.5	1	48% / 47%	3	over
2023 W4	Rush yds	50.5	45	43% / 50%	56	over
2023 W3	Any TD	–	21% TD chance	21% / 30%	0	under
2023 W3	Rec yds	9.5	6.3	39% / 50%	9	under
2023 W3	Rec	1.5	1	41% / 50%	1	under
2023 W3	Rush yds	44.5	33	35% / 51%	18	under
2023 W2	Any TD	–	18% TD chance	18% / 25%	0	under
2023 W2	Rush yds	38.5	31	40% / 51%	9	under
2023 W1	Any TD	–	–	– / 31%	0	under
2023 W1	Any TD	–	–	– / 1%	0	under
2023 W1	Rec yds	10.5	–	– / 50%	20	over
2023 W1	Rec	1.5	–	– / 53%	1	under
2023 W1	Rush yds	33.5	–	– / 49%	127	over

Our calls

2026 W3 Under 21.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
2026 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
2026 W3 Under 60.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
2026 W3 Over 60.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
2026 W2 Under 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
2026 W2 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
2026 W2 Under 63.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
2026 W1 Under 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
2025 W17 Under 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W17 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W17 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W17 Under 14.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
2025 W17 Over 14.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W17 Over 59.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
2025 W17 Under 59.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
2025 W17 Under 59.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W16 Under 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W16 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W16 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W16 Under 16.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
2025 W16 Over 61.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
2025 W16 Under 61.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W16 Over 61.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
2025 W15 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W15 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W15 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W15 Under 16.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
2025 W15 Under 59.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W14 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W14 Under 19.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W14 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W14 Over 71.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
2025 W13 Under 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W13 Under 22.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W13 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W13 Over 18.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W13 Under 72.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
2025 W12 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W12 Under 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W12 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W12 Under 15.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ❌
2025 W12 Under 63.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W11 Under 15.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
2025 W11 Under 15.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W11 Under 58.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
2025 W11 Under 58.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W11 Under 58.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
2025 W10 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W10 Under 62.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
2025 W10 Over 62.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W10 Under 62.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
2025 W8 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
2025 W8 Over 16.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W8 Over 68.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
2025 W7 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W7 Under 16.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W7 Over 68.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
2025 W7 Under 68.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
2025 W6 Under 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology