TE · DAL · 42 lines since 2023
Brevyn Spann-Ford Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Brevyn Spann-Ford, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 11% — we make it 7%
- Line 3.5 rec yds — we project 0 (P(over) 42%)
- Line 0.5 receptions — we project 0 (P(over) 48%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 0, under 2 (2 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 36 (37 graded)
Our calls on him: Short week 1–0 · model 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 11% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 3.5 | 0 | 42% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 48% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 5.9 | 44% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 0 | 12% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 5% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2024 W13 Under 8.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W2 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology