RB · GB · 74 lines since 2023
Chris Brooks Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Chris Brooks, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 22% — we make it 18%
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 1, under 3 (4 graded)
- Receiving yards over 4, under 7 (11 graded)
- Receptions over 3, under 6 (9 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 40 (41 graded)
- Rush attempts over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
- Longest reception over 3, under 2 (5 graded)
Our calls on him: model 13–18 · Short week 1–0 · Big favourite (6.5+) 1–0 · Starters out on defense 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 22% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 1.1 | 35% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 20% / 40% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 15 | 52% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 0 | 21% / 51% | 15 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 0 | 14% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 24.5 | 19 | 39% / 50% | 11 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 4.5 | 0.4 | 32% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 4.5 | 0.4 | 34% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 51% / 66% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 2.5 | 0 | 39% / 50% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 0 | 40% / 49% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 47% / 58% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 4.5 | 0 | 30% / 52% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 0 | 29% / 49% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 0 | 13% / 35% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 4.5 | 1 | 3% / 47% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 2 | 15% / 50% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 4.5 | 4.9 | 52% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 4.5 | 5.7 | 54% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 1.5 | 1.0 | 48% / 51% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 1.5 | 1.0 | 48% / 50% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 53% / 57% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 17% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 2.5 | 1.5 | 47% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 4.5 | 43% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 34% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rush yds | 9.5 | 7.7 | 44% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 4.5 | 2.7 | 44% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 60% / 65% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 2.2 | 38% / 49% | 15 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 23% / 34% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 5% | – | void |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 3% | – | void |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | – | – / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | – | – / 13% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 14.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 24.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 4.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 4.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 2.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 2.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 4.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 4.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 4.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 14.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W14 Over 9.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Under 9.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Under 4.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W12 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W12 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology