Edgehalla

WR · BAL · 89 lines since 2023

Chris Moore Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Chris Moore, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 5% — we make it 13%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 10, under 12 (22 graded)
  • Receptions over 4, under 14 (18 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 2, under 36 (38 graded)
  • Longest reception over 3, under 6 (9 graded)

Our calls on him: model 20–24 · Pre-snap motion 3–0 · Starters out on defense 1–0 · Explosive plays 2–0

Line vs actual vs our projection

Chris Moore prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 5%–…
2026 W4Any TD–19% TD chance19% / 13%–void
2026 W3Any TD–20% TD chance20% / 14%1over
2026 W3Rec yds16.52966% / 50%4under
2026 W3Rec1.5262% / 38%1under
2026 W2Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 17%0under
2026 W1Any TD–23% TD chance23% / 5%0under
2025 W17Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 8%0under
2025 W17Long rec1.55.758% / 50%15over
2025 W17Rec yds1.56.258% / 50%15over
2025 W17Rec0.5161% / 51%1over
2025 W16Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 5%0under
2025 W16Rec yds0.57.866% / 46%0under
2025 W13Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 9%0under
2025 W13Long rec6.51162% / 50%0under
2025 W13Rec yds8.51460% / 49%0under
2025 W13Rec1.5144% / 32%0under
2025 W11Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 11%0under
2025 W10Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 16%0under
2025 W10Long rec13.51451% / 49%0under
2025 W10Rec yds17.51952% / 49%0under
2025 W10Rec1.5252% / 54%0under
2025 W9Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 17%0under
2025 W9Long rec13.51759% / 50%0under
2025 W9Rec yds20.52555% / 49%0under
2025 W9Rec2.5236% / 38%0under
2025 W8Any TD–18% TD chance18% / 9%0under
2025 W8Long rec6.51674% / 51%0under
2025 W8Rec yds7.52575% / 49%0under
2025 W8Rec0.5286% / 63%0under
2025 W7Any TD–32% TD chance32% / 27%0under
2025 W7Long rec19.52665% / 52%44over
2025 W7Rec yds38.55061% / 50%59over
2025 W7Rec3.5348% / 46%2under
2025 W6Any TD–26% TD chance26% / 19%1over
2025 W6Long rec13.51960% / 51%22over
2025 W6Rec yds19.52758% / 49%46over
2025 W6Rec1.5259% / 54%3over
2025 W5Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 19%0under
2025 W5Long rec14.51552% / 50%0under
2025 W5Rec yds25.52044% / 50%0under
2025 W5Rec2.5232% / 42%0under
2025 W4Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 12%0under
2025 W4Long rec13.51348% / 51%0under
2025 W4Rec yds22.51843% / 50%0under
2025 W4Rec1.5260% / 60%0under
2025 W3Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 7%0under
2025 W1Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 5%0under
2024 W5Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 5%0under
2024 W4Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 8%0under
2024 W3Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 9%0under
2024 W2Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 5%0under
2024 W1Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 8%0under
2023 W18Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 15%0under
2023 W18Rec yds21.51642% / 50%30over
2023 W17Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 18%0under
2023 W17Rec yds25.51432% / 48%32over
2023 W16Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 18%0under
2023 W16Rec yds21.51540% / 50%9under
2023 W16Rec1.5148% / 59%1under
2023 W15Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 11%0under
2023 W14Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 13%0under
2023 W14Rec yds11.51150% / 50%22over
2023 W14Rec1.5142% / 37%1under
2023 W13Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 13%0under
2023 W12Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 17%0under
2023 W12Rec yds15.59.940% / 50%41over
2023 W12Rec1.5135% / 46%3over
2023 W11Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 14%0under
2023 W11Rec yds16.59.636% / 51%49over
2023 W10Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 14%0under
2023 W10Rec yds11.57.342% / 50%21over
2023 W10Rec1.5131% / 36%2over
2023 W9Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 9%0under
2023 W8Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 9%0under
2023 W6Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 16%0under
2023 W6Rec yds17.51342% / 50%6under
2023 W6Rec1.5143% / 52%1under
2023 W5Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 19%0under
2023 W5Rec yds25.52144% / 50%0under
2023 W5Rec2.5230% / 40%0under
2023 W4Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 16%0under
2023 W4Rec yds22.51843% / 49%44over
2023 W4Rec2.5230% / 43%1under
2023 W3Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 9%0under
2023 W2Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 10%0under
2023 W1Any TD––– / 12%0under
2023 W1Rec yds16.5–– / 49%0under
2023 W1Rec1.5–– / 55%0under

Our calls

  • 2026 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) void
  • 2026 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W3 Over 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W3 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2025 W17 Over 1.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Over 1.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Over 1.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W16 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Over 0.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W13 Over 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W13 Over 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W13 Under 8.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W13 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W9 Over 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W9 Over 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W8 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W8 Over 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W8 Over 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W8 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W7 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W7 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W7 Over 38.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W7 Over 38.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W6 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W6 Over 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W6 Over 19.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W6 Over 19.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W6 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W5 Under 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W5 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W4 Under 22.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W18 Under 21.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W17 Under 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W16 Under 21.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W16 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W14 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W12 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W12 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W11 Under 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W10 Over 11.5 rec yds (Explosive plays, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W10 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W10 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W6 Under 17.5 rec yds (Explosive plays, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W6 Under 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W6 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W5 Under 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W5 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W4 Under 22.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W4 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology