RB · NE · 13 lines since 2023
Corey Kiner Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Corey Kiner, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 7% — we make it 12%
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 1, under 1 (2 graded)
- Receptions over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 8 (8 graded)
- Rush attempts over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
Our calls on him: model 3–1 · Big underdog (6.5+) 1–0 · Starters out on defense 0–1 · Dome team outdoors 1–0 · Missed tackles 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 7% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 8.5 | 10 | 55% / 51% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 7% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 4.5 | 3 | 23% / 46% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 10 | 38% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | – | – / 3% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 4.5 rush attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 4.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 15.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 15.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 15.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 15.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology