Edgehalla

TE · LAR · 88 lines since 2023

Davis Allen Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Davis Allen, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 11% — we make it 9%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 6, under 6 (12 graded)
  • Receptions over 6, under 6 (12 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 4, under 46 (50 graded)
  • Longest reception over 5, under 3 (8 graded)

Our calls on him: model 15–12 · Dome team outdoors 2–2 · Short week 1–2 · Wind 15+ mph 0–1 · Starters out on defense 1–1

Line vs actual vs our projection

Davis Allen prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 11%–…
2026 W4Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 11%0under
2026 W3Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2026 W2Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 7%0under
2026 W1Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 7%0under
2025 W18Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 22%0under
2025 W17Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 21%0under
2025 W17Long rec10.59.547% / 50%0under
2025 W17Rec yds15.51245% / 49%0under
2025 W17Rec1.5148% / 60%0under
2025 W16Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 13%0under
2025 W16Long rec10.57.137% / 51%27over
2025 W16Rec yds15.58.834% / 50%34over
2025 W16Rec1.5144% / 57%2over
2025 W15Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 17%0under
2025 W15Long rec8.57.447% / 49%7under
2025 W15Rec yds10.58.646% / 50%16over
2025 W15Rec1.5138% / 45%3over
2025 W14Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 14%0under
2025 W14Long rec8.56.846% / 51%12over
2025 W14Rec yds10.57.945% / 50%21over
2025 W14Rec1.5134% / 48%2over
2025 W13Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 15%0under
2025 W13Long rec9.57.042% / 49%4under
2025 W13Rec yds12.58.140% / 50%4under
2025 W13Rec1.5136% / 49%1under
2025 W12Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 20%0under
2025 W12Long rec7.54.741% / 48%15over
2025 W12Rec yds8.54.942% / 50%29over
2025 W12Rec1.5126% / 43%3over
2025 W11Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 14%0under
2025 W10Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 14%1over
2025 W10Long rec2.54.757% / 51%4over
2025 W10Rec yds3.55.254% / 49%8over
2025 W10Rec0.5163% / 57%2over
2025 W9Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 13%0under
2025 W7Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 10%0under
2025 W6Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 12%0under
2025 W5Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 16%0under
2025 W5Long rec7.52.937% / 51%20over
2025 W5Rec yds9.5336% / 49%24over
2025 W5Rec1.5125% / 43%2over
2025 W4Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 11%0under
2025 W3Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 8%0under
2025 W2Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 10%1over
2025 W1Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 5%1over
2024 W18Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 5%0under
2024 W17Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%0under
2024 W16Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2024 W15Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2024 W14Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 13%0under
2024 W13Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 13%0under
2024 W12Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 18%0under
2024 W12Rec yds16.5015% / 49%0under
2024 W12Rec2.504% / 38%0under
2024 W11Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 18%0under
2024 W11Rec yds19.51.716% / 49%0under
2024 W11Rec2.516% / 46%0under
2024 W10Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 8%0under
2024 W9Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 5%0under
2024 W8Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2024 W7Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2024 W5Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 6%0under
2024 W4Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 7%–void
2024 W3Any TD––– / 10%–void
2024 W2Any TD––– / 7%–void
2024 W1Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 11%0under
2024 W1Rec yds7.52.137% / 49%0under
2024 W1Rec0.5155% / 66%0under
2023 W18Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 18%0under
2023 W17Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 10%0under
2023 W16Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 11%0under
2023 W16Rec yds2.5037% / 50%0under
2023 W16Rec0.5041% / 55%0under
2023 W15Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 17%0under
2023 W14Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 8%1over
2023 W13Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 5%0under
2023 W12Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 8%0under
2023 W11Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 4%0under
2023 W9Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 5%0under
2023 W8Any TD–1% TD chance1% / 6%0under
2023 W7Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 5%0under
2023 W6Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 5%0under
2023 W5Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 4%0under
2023 W4Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 5%0under
2023 W3Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 5%–void
2023 W2Any TD–1% TD chance1% / 4%–void
2023 W1Any TD––– / 6%0under

Our calls

  • 2025 W17 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W16 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Under 15.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Under 15.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Under 15.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W16 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W15 Over 10.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W15 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W14 Under 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W14 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W13 Under 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W13 Over 12.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W13 Under 12.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W13 Under 12.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W13 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W12 Under 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W12 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W12 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W10 Over 2.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W10 Under 3.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W10 Over 3.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W10 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W5 Under 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W5 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W5 Under 9.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W5 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W12 Under 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W12 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W11 Under 19.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W11 Under 19.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W11 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W1 Under 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W1 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W16 Under 2.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W16 Under 2.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W16 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology