WR · CLE · 16 lines since 2023
Denzel Boston Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Denzel Boston, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 34% — we make it 23%
- Line 22.5 yds longest rec — we project 23 (P(over) 51%)
- Line 47.5 rec yds — we project 46 (P(over) 49%)
- Line 3.5 receptions — we project 4 (P(over) 52%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 3, under 1 (4 graded)
- Receptions over 2, under 2 (4 graded)
- Anytime TD over 2, under 2 (4 graded)
Our calls on him: Explosive plays 1–0 · Middle of the field 0–0 · Short week 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 34% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 22.5 | 23 | 51% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 46 | 49% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 52% / 45% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 37 | 48% / 50% | 89 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 63% / 58% | 4 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 43 | 46% / 50% | 41 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 52% / 49% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 22% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 29 | 49% / 50% | 95 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 52% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 18% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 25.5 | – | – / 50% | 59 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | – | – / 46% | 2 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Under 47.5 rec yds (Explosive plays, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W5 Over 47.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W4 Over 38.5 rec yds (Explosive plays, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 38.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology