WR · PHI · 164 lines since 2023
Dontayvion Wicks Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Dontayvion Wicks, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 21% — we make it 34%
- Line 20.5 yds longest rec — we project 22 (P(over) 54%)
- Line 44.5 rec yds — we project 53 (P(over) 60%)
- Line 3.5 receptions — we project 5 (P(over) 73%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 23, under 25 (48 graded)
- Receptions over 23, under 25 (48 graded)
- Anytime TD over 9, under 41 (50 graded)
- Longest reception over 5, under 9 (14 graded)
Our calls on him: model 33–53 · Starters out on defense 5–2 · Pre-snap motion 3–3 · Freezing 2–1 · Short week 2–2 · Wind 15+ mph 2–1 · Middle of the field 5–3 · Explosive plays 2–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 21% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 20.5 | 22 | 54% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 53 | 60% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 73% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 55.5 | 58 | 52% / 50% | 18 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 70% / 57% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 44 | 52% / 51% | 32 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 51% / 41% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 29 | 49% / 50% | 74 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 48% / 52% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 24% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 31 | 53% / 50% | 73 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 7.5 | 14 | 69% / 48% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 20 | 71% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 62% / 36% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 10.5 | 14 | 60% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 20 | 63% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 61% / 43% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 8.5 | 16 | 71% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 24 | 73% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 66% / 34% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 13.5 | 19 | 65% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 21.5 | 34 | 65% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 56% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 24% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 16.5 | 17 | 52% / 51% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 29 | 47% / 51% | 94 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 57% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 15.5 | 14 | 46% / 52% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 20 | 39% / 51% | 32 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 39% / 52% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 12.5 | 17 | 62% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 27 | 59% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 47% / 41% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 16.5 | 14 | 44% / 49% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 22 | 41% / 50% | 38 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 38% / 48% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 15.5 | 17 | 55% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 27 | 51% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 17.5 | 22 | 61% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 40 | 59% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 61% / 56% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 19.5 | 20 | 52% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 35 | 44% / 50% | 19 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 35% / 44% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 19.5 | 21 | 57% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 43 | 54% / 51% | 21 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 50% / 44% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 13.5 | 17 | 58% / 51% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 25 | 59% / 50% | 44 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 66% / 56% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 12.5 | 19 | 66% / 50% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 32 | 66% / 53% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 55% / 39% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 46.5 | 26 | 28% / 49% | 43 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 24% / 48% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 22% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 24 | 58% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 59% / 52% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 30 | 57% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 40% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 30 | 40% / 50% | 49 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 26% / 44% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 29 | 39% / 50% | 30 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 22% / 45% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 22 | 59% / 50% | 25 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 56% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 22 | 58% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 55% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 21.5 | 29 | 58% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 31 | 54% / 51% | 11 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 24% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 25 | 59% / 50% | 48 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 60% / 57% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 40 | 54% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 59% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 57.5 | 43 | 36% / 51% | 20 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 24% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 19% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 22 | 48% / 49% | 78 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 34% / 41% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 18 | 61% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 60% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 10% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 19 | 65% / 51% | 26 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 58% / 43% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 28 | 49% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 29% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 27 | 35% / 50% | 61 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 25% / 48% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 32% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 52.5 | 29 | 26% / 50% | 29 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 4.5 | 2 | 15% / 46% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 27 | 33% / 49% | 97 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 23% / 47% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 28 | 38% / 51% | 20 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 28% / 45% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 17 | 44% / 49% | 43 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 55% / 58% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 17 | 44% / 50% | 91 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 55% / 58% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 14 | 55% / 50% | 51 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 51% / 43% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 11 | 54% / 49% | 49 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 39% / 33% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 8.8 | 47% / 50% | 28 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 34% / 38% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 11 | 57% / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 72% / 60% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 19 | 70% / 50% | 10 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 0.5 | 2 | 81% / 60% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 31 | 76% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 3 | 74% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 30 | 49% / 50% | 45 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 50% / 55% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 20% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 21 | 62% / 52% | 40 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 64% / 47% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 12% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Over 55.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 9.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 21.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 21.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 21.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 31.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 28.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 20.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 27.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 17.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 32.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 40.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Over 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Over 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Under 18.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Over 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Over 19.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Under 46.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Under 17.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Over 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Over 24.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Under 39.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Under 39.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Under 39.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Under 39.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W12 Over 15.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology