WR · ATL · 163 lines since 2023
Drake London Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Drake London, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 46% — we make it 27%
- Line 25.5 yds longest rec — we project 28 (P(over) 57%)
- Line 80.5 rec yds — we project 69 (P(over) 41%)
- Line 5.5 receptions — we project 5 (P(over) 43%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 24, under 25 (49 graded)
- Receptions over 26, under 23 (49 graded)
- Anytime TD over 15, under 34 (49 graded)
- Longest reception over 6, under 6 (12 graded)
Our calls on him: model 32–41 · Pre-snap motion 8–7 · Short week 0–2 · Starters out on defense 5–3 · Dome team outdoors 8–6 · Missed tackles 0–1 · Middle of the field 3–2 · Freezing 0–1 · Explosive plays 2–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 46% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 25.5 | 28 | 57% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 80.5 | 69 | 41% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 43% / 57% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 80.5 | 66 | 39% / 50% | 96 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 43% / 57% | 5 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 35% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 68.5 | 46 | 30% / 50% | 194 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 5.5 | 4 | 29% / 49% | 9 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 56.5 | 50 | 44% / 50% | 51 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 43% / 52% | 4 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 53.5 | 56 | 53% / 49% | 29 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 60% / 57% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 41% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 21.5 | 27 | 64% / 50% | 37 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 56.5 | 65 | 56% / 49% | 78 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 42% / 42% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 22.5 | 24 | 54% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 67.5 | 58 | 42% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 42% / 54% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 24.5 | 28 | 59% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 67.5 | 68 | 50% / 51% | 27 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 43% / 46% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 23.5 | 28 | 62% / 52% | 41 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 76.5 | 73 | 47% / 52% | 119 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 6.5 | 6 | 39% / 44% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 41% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 22.5 | 28 | 67% / 49% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 70.5 | 83 | 59% / 50% | 104 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 5.5 | 7 | 64% / 56% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 34% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 21.5 | 26 | 64% / 50% | 40 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 63.5 | 70 | 56% / 49% | 118 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 59% / 47% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 23.5 | 29 | 66% / 49% | 19 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 71.5 | 86 | 61% / 50% | 42 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 5.5 | 7 | 67% / 55% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 40% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 23.5 | 29 | 67% / 50% | 39 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 75.5 | 90 | 60% / 50% | 158 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 58% / 45% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 39% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 21.5 | 25 | 62% / 51% | 43 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 61.5 | 63 | 51% / 50% | 110 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 44% / 48% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 22.5 | 27 | 64% / 50% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 64.5 | 70 | 53% / 50% | 55 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 46% / 49% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 22.5 | 27 | 65% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 71.5 | 83 | 59% / 50% | 49 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 57% / 43% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 24.5 | 31 | 71% / 51% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 79.5 | 96 | 60% / 50% | 55 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 6.5 | 7 | 56% / 48% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 50% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 73.5 | 79 | 54% / 50% | 187 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 51% / 54% | 10 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 61.5 | 56 | 44% / 49% | 106 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 55% / 56% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 45% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 65.5 | 63 | 48% / 49% | 59 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 55% / 56% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 44% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 66.5 | 68 | 51% / 49% | 53 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 46% / 51% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 71.5 | 62 | 43% / 52% | 70 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 52% / 58% | 5 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 64.5 | 57 | 44% / 50% | 86 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 41% / 52% | 9 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 61.5 | 56 | 45% / 50% | 61 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 46% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 61.5 | 56 | 44% / 50% | 97 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 5.5 | 4 | 36% / 46% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 50% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 69.5 | 66 | 47% / 50% | 27 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 46% / 55% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 68.5 | 69 | 51% / 51% | 34 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 51% / 55% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 44% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 74.5 | 71 | 47% / 50% | 63 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 6.5 | 5 | 36% / 48% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 43% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 69.5 | 68 | 49% / 50% | 74 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 48% / 54% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 41% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 63.5 | 59 | 46% / 49% | 154 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 42% / 49% | 12 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 59.5 | 51 | 41% / 50% | 64 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 49% / 57% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 37% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 61.5 | 47 | 36% / 50% | 67 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 5.5 | 4 | 32% / 44% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 34% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 61.5 | 45 | 35% / 50% | 54 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 40% / 57% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 60.5 | 74 | 62% / 51% | 15 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 4.5 | 6 | 66% / 59% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 51 | 59% / 53% | 41 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 64% / 56% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 43.5 | 51 | 58% / 50% | 56 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 68% / 51% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 56.5 | 58 | 52% / 49% | 39 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 51% / 46% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 46.5 | 47 | 51% / 49% | 24 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 65% / 56% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 48.5 | 57 | 58% / 50% | 172 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 51% / 42% | 10 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 44 | 49% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 64% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 50.5 | 50 | 49% / 50% | 91 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 52% / 44% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 48.5 | 52 | 53% / 50% | 36 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 50% / 43% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 54.5 | 43 | 36% / 50% | 55 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 46% / 45% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 48.5 | 37 | 37% / 50% | 54 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 53% / 58% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 38 | 42% / 50% | 125 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 43% / 53% | 9 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 45 | 55% / 50% | 78 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 52% / 48% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 28% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 43.5 | 41 | 47% / 50% | 28 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 54% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 48 | 51% / 50% | 31 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 63% / 56% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 26 | 24% / 46% | 67 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 29% / 51% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 53.5 | – | – / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 4.5 | – | – / 48% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 80.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Over 80.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 68.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 68.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 68.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 56.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 56.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 56.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 67.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 67.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 67.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 24.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 67.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 23.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 76.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 76.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 70.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 63.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 63.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 23.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 71.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 71.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 23.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Over 75.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Over 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Over 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 64.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Over 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Over 71.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Over 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 24.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 79.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 6.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W18 Over 73.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Over 61.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Under 61.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Over 66.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W14 Over 71.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Under 71.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W14 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Over 64.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Over 64.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Under 64.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W11 Under 61.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W11 Under 61.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W11 Under 61.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology