WR · WAS · 107 lines since 2023
Dyami Brown Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Dyami Brown, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 17% — we make it 20%
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 0, under 2 (2 graded)
- Receiving yards over 11, under 12 (23 graded)
- Receptions over 8, under 12 (20 graded)
- Anytime TD over 3, under 48 (51 graded)
- Longest reception over 3, under 7 (10 graded)
Our calls on him: model 12–29 · Pre-snap motion 0–1 · Starters out on defense 1–1 · Freezing 0–1 · Short week 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 17% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 13 | 54% / 50% | 65 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 42% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 12 | 57% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 7.5 | 17 | 75% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 26 | 76% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 0.5 | 2 | 88% / 67% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 10.5 | 15 | 63% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 23 | 67% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 68% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 16.5 | 16 | 50% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 29 | 45% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 56% / 57% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 18.5 | 19 | 51% / 49% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 34 | 50% / 50% | 25 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 38% / 44% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 14.5 | 18 | 61% / 51% | 39 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 32 | 57% / 50% | 50 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 63% / 49% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 15.5 | 18 | 59% / 49% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 34 | 55% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 42% / 42% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 15.5 | 16 | 52% / 49% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 29 | 51% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 58% / 54% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 37% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 17.5 | 20 | 59% / 51% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 41 | 58% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 51% / 41% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 20% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 16.5 | 19 | 58% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 37 | 57% / 50% | 57 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 67% / 55% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 15.5 | 14 | 45% / 49% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 20 | 44% / 50% | 52 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 38% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 12 | 30% / 51% | 56 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 25% / 49% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 17 | 36% / 51% | 30 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 30% / 48% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 6.4 | 42% / 50% | 35 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 5.6 | 46% / 51% | -13 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 11% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 7.1 | 44% / 51% | 57 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 30% / 37% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 4.3 | 38% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 25% / 36% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 4% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 1.6 | 35% / 50% | 16 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 20% / 34% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 2.5 | 20% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 22% / 58% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 9% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 4.5 | 31% / 50% | 33 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 8.2 | 48% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 34% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 6.5 | 9.1 | 55% / 51% | 11 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 69% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 11% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W3 Over 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 12.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 14.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 26.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 26.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 29.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Over 0.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 17.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 34.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Over 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Over 31.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Under 23.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Under 24.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Under 24.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Under 26.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W5 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W5 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W4 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W4 Under 0.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W3 Under 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W1 Under 20.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W1 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W9 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W5 Over 6.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W5 Under 6.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W5 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology