Edgehalla

WR · NE · 23 lines since 2023

Efton Chism III Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Efton Chism III, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 18% — we make it 12%
  • Line 17.5 yds longest rec — we project 11 (P(over) 35%)
  • Line 25.5 rec yds — we project 14 (P(over) 32%)
  • Line 1.5 receptions — we project 1 (P(over) 44%)

Over/under record by market

  • Anytime TD over 2, under 9 (11 graded)

Line vs actual vs our projection

Efton Chism III prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 18%–…
2026 W5Long rec17.51135% / 48%–…
2026 W5Rec yds25.51432% / 50%–…
2026 W5Rec1.5144% / 60%–…
2026 W4Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 6%1over
2026 W3Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2026 W2Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 5%0under
2025 W18Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 17%0under
2025 W17Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 9%1over
2025 W16Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 4%–void
2025 W15Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 9%–void
2025 W13Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 7%0under
2025 W12Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 7%–void
2025 W11Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 7%0under
2025 W10Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 4%0under
2025 W9Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2025 W8Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 3%–void
2025 W7Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2025 W6Any TD––– / 5%0under
2025 W5Any TD––– / 6%–void
2025 W4Any TD––– / 7%–void
2025 W2Any TD––– / 6%–void
2025 W1Any TD––– / 11%–void

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology