TE · NE · 10 lines since 2023
Eli Raridon Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Eli Raridon, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 17% — we make it 13%
- Line 8.5 yds longest rec — we project 4.9 (P(over) 40%)
- Line 11.5 rec yds — we project 5.5 (P(over) 38%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 1 (P(over) 30%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
- Receptions over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 2 (3 graded)
Our calls on him: model 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 17% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 8.5 | 4.9 | 40% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 5.5 | 38% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 30% / 41% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 3.3 | 45% / 50% | 12 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 60% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 11% | – | void |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 7% | 1 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology