WR · PHI · 132 lines since 2023
Elijah Moore Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Elijah Moore, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 4% — we make it 5%
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 0, under 2 (2 graded)
- Receiving yards over 17, under 21 (38 graded)
- Receptions over 16, under 22 (38 graded)
- Anytime TD over 4, under 41 (45 graded)
- Longest reception over 2, under 4 (6 graded)
Our calls on him: Short week 2–1 · model 24–25 · Freezing 0–1 · Wind 15+ mph 5–1 · Starters out on defense 2–1 · Middle of the field 1–0 · Missed tackles 0–1 · Pre-snap motion 1–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 4% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 5% | – | void |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 6% | – | void |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.2 | 46% / 50% | -3 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 9.3 | 46% / 50% | -3 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 38% / 42% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 12.5 | 10 | 44% / 49% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 12 | 42% / 49% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 55% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 8.5 | 9.8 | 53% / 51% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 12 | 52% / 48% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 39% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.8 | 46% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 8.9 | 47% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 34% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 1.5 | 0 | 38% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 8.5 | 10 | 53% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 12 | 54% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 38% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 8% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 8.5 | 19 | 79% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 30 | 57% / 50% | 36 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 58% / 42% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 32 | 60% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 73% / 59% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 37 | 55% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 56% / 53% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 45.5 | 37 | 40% / 50% | -1 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 40% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 51.5 | 39 | 35% / 50% | 34 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 43% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 40 | 40% / 50% | 111 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 50% / 49% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 30 | 44% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 53% / 45% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 22% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 36 | 49% / 50% | 66 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 53% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 34 | 41% / 50% | 28 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 53% / 55% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 31 | 51% / 50% | 85 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 68% / 58% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 28 | 51% / 50% | 41 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 62% / 56% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 21 | 51% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 49% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 26 | 52% / 49% | 11 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 51% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rush yds | 0.5 | 0 | 11% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 28 | 50% / 51% | 11 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 60% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 32 | 52% / 51% | 17 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 38% / 46% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 28 | 50% / 50% | 44 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 53% / 55% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 36 | 70% / 49% | 9 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 3 | 79% / 57% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 30% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 37 | 44% / 51% | 61 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 50% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 39 | 55% / 50% | 19 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 67% / 61% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 41 | 52% / 49% | 17 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 51% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 50 | 58% / 51% | 42 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 62% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 38 | 53% / 50% | 83 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 56% / 43% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 35 | 59% / 50% | 44 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 71% / 59% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 37 | 62% / 50% | 60 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 73% / 55% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 19% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 34 | 55% / 50% | 44 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 54% / 44% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 47 | 60% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 52% / 47% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 38 | 55% / 49% | 30 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 56% / 41% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 38 | 47% / 50% | 59 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 52% / 53% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 31 | 59% / 50% | 19 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 74% / 56% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 47 | 67% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 69% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 45 | 57% / 50% | 49 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 48% | 9 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 46 | 59% / 51% | 36 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 58% / 43% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 33.5 | – | – / 51% | 43 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | – | – / 60% | 3 | over |
Our calls
- 2025 W12 Under 11.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 1.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Under 25.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Over 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W18 Under 25.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Over 25.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Over 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W17 Under 25.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Over 32.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Under 45.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Under 45.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Under 45.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W14 Under 51.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W14 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Over 47.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Under 47.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W12 Under 34.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W12 Under 34.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W12 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W9 Under 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Over 30.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W7 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W4 Over 28.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W1 Over 19.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W1 Under 19.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W1 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W17 Under 42.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W17 Under 42.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W16 Over 35.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W16 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W15 Under 39.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W14 Over 41.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W14 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W13 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W12 Over 28.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W12 Over 28.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W12 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W11 Over 27.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W11 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W10 Under 30.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W10 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W9 Over 37.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W9 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W8 Over 33.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W8 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W6 Over 26.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W6 Under 26.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W6 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology