WR · TB · 84 lines since 2023
Emeka Egbuka Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Emeka Egbuka, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 28% — we make it 21%
- Line 16.5 yds longest rec — we project 20 (P(over) 61%)
- Line 36.5 rec yds — we project 38 (P(over) 52%)
- Line 3.5 receptions — we project 3 (P(over) 48%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 10, under 11 (21 graded)
- Receptions over 8, under 13 (21 graded)
- Anytime TD over 6, under 15 (21 graded)
- Longest reception over 9, under 8 (17 graded)
Our calls on him: Pre-snap motion 3–5 · Short week 0–1 · model 20–19 · Explosive plays 1–1 · Missed tackles 2–0 · Wind 15+ mph 1–0 · Starters out on defense 3–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 28% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 16.5 | 20 | 61% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 38 | 52% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 43% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 38 | 50% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 47% / 45% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 49.5 | 39 | 39% / 50% | 62 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 30% / 43% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 38% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 54.5 | 49 | 45% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 58% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 57.5 | 73 | 61% / 50% | 63 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 56% / 47% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 16.5 | 21 | 61% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 36 | 61% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 53% / 42% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 18.5 | 24 | 63% / 51% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 43 | 57% / 49% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 54% / 55% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 18.5 | 24 | 64% / 53% | 40 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 43 | 58% / 50% | 40 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 42% / 40% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 20.5 | 27 | 64% / 50% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 50.5 | 53 | 53% / 50% | 64 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 52% / 61% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 22.5 | 26 | 58% / 49% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 54.5 | 52 | 48% / 51% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 33% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 23.5 | 27 | 58% / 49% | 23 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 60.5 | 57 | 46% / 50% | 42 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 38% / 54% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 23.5 | 28 | 61% / 51% | 32 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 68.5 | 67 | 49% / 51% | 32 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 41% / 45% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 22.5 | 28 | 64% / 49% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 57.5 | 64 | 55% / 51% | 40 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 50% / 50% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 48% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 25.5 | 31 | 63% / 50% | 31 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 70.5 | 71 | 50% / 50% | 115 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 37% / 47% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 26.5 | 29 | 55% / 49% | 24 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 74.5 | 63 | 40% / 50% | 35 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 5.5 | 4 | 27% / 46% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 23.5 | 31 | 70% / 51% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 50.5 | 83 | 74% / 50% | 58 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 4.5 | 6 | 65% / 45% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 49% TD chance | 49% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 26.5 | 35 | 71% / 52% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 74.5 | 104 | 69% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 5.5 | 7 | 65% / 54% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 36% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 24.5 | 26 | 53% / 49% | 57 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 61.5 | 60 | 48% / 50% | 163 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 38% / 42% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 23.5 | 25 | 55% / 49% | 77 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 57.5 | 67 | 59% / 50% | 101 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 55% / 44% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 19.5 | 21 | 55% / 49% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 42 | 52% / 50% | 85 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 51% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 22.5 | 20 | 44% / 49% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 53.5 | 39 | 35% / 50% | 29 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 32% / 48% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 33% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 22.5 | – | – / 46% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 57.5 | – | – / 50% | 67 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 4.5 | – | – / 56% | 4 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Over 33.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W5 Under 33.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W3 Under 49.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 57.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Over 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 26.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 34.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 34.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 35.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 50.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 50.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 54.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 23.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 23.5 yds longest rec (Explosive plays, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 23.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 68.5 rec yds (Explosive plays, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 68.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 68.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 57.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 25.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Over 26.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 74.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Over 74.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 23.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 50.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 50.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 50.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 26.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 74.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 74.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Over 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Over 61.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 61.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Over 23.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 57.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 57.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Over 40.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Under 22.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Under 53.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology