RB · SEA · 40 lines since 2023
George Holani Player Props
Closing consensus lines for George Holani, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 26% — we make it 23%
- Line 7.5 yds longest rec — we project 5.5 (P(over) 41%)
- Line 8.5 rec yds — we project 6.6 (P(over) 43%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 1 (P(over) 39%)
- Line 31.5 rush + rec yds — we project 28 (P(over) 44%)
- Line 20.5 rush yds — we project 18 (P(over) 44%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 2, under 2 (4 graded)
- Receiving yards over 1, under 2 (3 graded)
- Receptions over 1, under 2 (3 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 9 (10 graded)
- Rush attempts over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
- Longest reception over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
Our calls on him: model 4–8 · Big favourite (6.5+) 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 26% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 7.5 | 5.5 | 41% / 48% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 6.6 | 43% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 39% / 55% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush+rec yds | 31.5 | 28 | 44% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 20.5 | 18 | 44% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 12 | 53% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 55% / 54% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 32.5 | 30 | 46% / 50% | 18 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 29.5 | 20 | 29% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 0 | 10% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 0 | 7% / 58% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 18.5 | 18 | 49% / 51% | 29 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | – | – / 8% | – | void |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 10% | – | void |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 4% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 5% | – | void |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 7% | – | void |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 5% | – | void |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 0.5 | 0 | 35% / 47% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 0.5 | 0 | 35% / 50% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 35% / 51% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 4.5 | 2 | 15% / 53% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 22.5 | 8.3 | 18% / 50% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 3% | – | void |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 4% | – | void |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 12% | – | void |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 6% | – | void |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | – | – / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | – | – / 7% | – | void |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | – | – / 7% | – | void |
Our calls
- 2026 W3 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 29.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Under 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W12 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
- 2025 W11 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
- 2025 W5 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
- 2025 W4 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
- 2025 W3 Under 0.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 0.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 4.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 4.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 22.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
- 2024 W17 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) void
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology