TE · CLE · 80 lines since 2023
Harold Fannin Jr. Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Harold Fannin Jr., what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 29% — we make it 22%
- Line 14.5 yds longest rec — we project 15 (P(over) 51%)
- Line 34.5 rec yds — we project 29 (P(over) 42%)
- Line 4.5 receptions — we project 3 (P(over) 35%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 11, under 9 (20 graded)
- Receptions over 10, under 10 (20 graded)
- Anytime TD over 8, under 12 (20 graded)
- Longest reception over 11, under 5 (16 graded)
Our calls on him: Missed tackles 1–1 · model 17–20 · Short week 1–0 · Starters out on defense 2–1 · Pre-snap motion 2–2 · Middle of the field 0–1 · Freezing 1–1 · Wind 15+ mph 3–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 29% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 14.5 | 15 | 51% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 29 | 42% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 35% / 41% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 29 | 34% / 50% | 27 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 34% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 28 | 38% / 50% | 51 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 42% / 55% | 7 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 23 | 33% / 50% | 54 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 36% / 55% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 41 | 55% / 51% | 21 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 5 | 68% / 58% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 23% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 18.5 | 16 | 42% / 50% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 49.5 | 39 | 36% / 50% | 30 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 37% / 44% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 25% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 18.5 | 16 | 40% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 53.5 | 38 | 31% / 50% | 34 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 38% / 46% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 18.5 | 17 | 42% / 49% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 38 | 39% / 50% | 48 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 51% / 56% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 23% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 16.5 | 15 | 43% / 50% | 35 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 27 | 37% / 52% | 114 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 44% / 56% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 17% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 15.5 | 13 | 42% / 49% | 34 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 25 | 38% / 50% | 43 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 52% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 14.5 | 13 | 43% / 51% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 24 | 41% / 49% | 40 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 47% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 14.5 | 13 | 45% / 49% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 27 | 43% / 50% | 26 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 38% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 14.5 | 15 | 53% / 50% | 24 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 30 | 47% / 50% | 44 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 36% / 40% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 24% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 14.5 | 14 | 49% / 49% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 30 | 47% / 51% | 62 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 57% / 52% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 15.5 | 16 | 53% / 51% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 38 | 47% / 50% | 36 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 52% / 53% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 13.5 | 12 | 42% / 47% | 24 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 21 | 41% / 51% | 81 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 38% / 43% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 17% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 13.5 | 12 | 45% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 22 | 39% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 37% / 43% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 14.5 | 12 | 41% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 23 | 37% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 43% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 14.5 | 13 | 41% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 24 | 35% / 49% | 25 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 56% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 15.5 | 13 | 41% / 51% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 27 | 37% / 50% | 48 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 53% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 13.5 | – | – / 49% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 21.5 | – | – / 49% | 63 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | – | – / 43% | 7 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Over 40.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 40.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Over 36.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 36.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 36.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 33.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 49.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 49.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 49.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 53.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 53.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 53.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 47.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 47.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 36.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 36.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 32.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 32.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 32.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 14.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 30.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 32.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 32.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 33.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 40.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 40.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 28.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 14.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Under 31.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 31.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 14.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 34.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Under 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Under 35.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology