TE · NE · 176 lines since 2023
Hunter Henry Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Hunter Henry, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 36% — we make it 33%
- Line 16.5 yds longest rec — we project 19 (P(over) 58%)
- Line 37.5 rec yds — we project 38 (P(over) 51%)
- Line 3.5 receptions — we project 4 (P(over) 52%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 27, under 24 (51 graded)
- Receptions over 26, under 25 (51 graded)
- Anytime TD over 13, under 38 (51 graded)
- Longest reception over 11, under 6 (17 graded)
Our calls on him: model 40–32 · Freezing 2–3 · Starters out on defense 6–3 · Pre-snap motion 7–6 · Missed tackles 2–0 · Short week 1–2 · Wind 15+ mph 1–1 · Middle of the field 2–4 · Play action 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 36% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 16.5 | 19 | 58% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 38 | 51% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 52% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 30 | 50% / 50% | 62 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 44% / 44% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 32 | 38% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 47% / 56% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 27 | 36% / 51% | 40 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 39% / 45% | 3 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 38 | 55% / 50% | 26 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 58% / 41% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 45% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 18.5 | 22 | 59% / 49% | 29 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 46.5 | 42 | 45% / 48% | 56 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 33% / 49% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 43% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 20.5 | 23 | 57% / 50% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 48 | 51% / 50% | 49 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 42% / 45% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 31% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 18.5 | 19 | 52% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 38 | 47% / 50% | 35 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 53% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 17.5 | 19 | 54% / 49% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 36 | 46% / 50% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 47% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 17.5 | 19 | 56% / 49% | 36 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 37 | 48% / 50% | 73 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 44% / 47% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 36% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 18.5 | 22 | 60% / 49% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 44 | 54% / 50% | 115 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 46% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 17.5 | 22 | 62% / 50% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 44 | 56% / 50% | 45 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 54% / 45% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 16.5 | 18 | 56% / 49% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 36 | 50% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 15.5 | 18 | 58% / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 33 | 53% / 49% | 51 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 42% / 42% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 38% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 15.5 | 18 | 58% / 52% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 33 | 50% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 43% / 43% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 16.5 | 18 | 55% / 51% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 35 | 47% / 50% | 33 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 46% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 18.5 | 20 | 55% / 49% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 40 | 49% / 50% | 27 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 54% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 17.5 | 17 | 49% / 49% | 24 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 33 | 41% / 51% | 46 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 58% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 34% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 16.5 | 18 | 55% / 51% | 31 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 36 | 44% / 50% | 39 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 49% / 56% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 28% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 16.5 | 17 | 53% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 31 | 44% / 50% | 90 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 42% / 52% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 16.5 | 17 | 53% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 33 | 44% / 52% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 47% / 52% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 15.5 | 19 | 62% / 51% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 41 | 61% / 51% | 66 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 58% / 44% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 43.5 | 34 | 37% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 42% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 23% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 35 | 40% / 50% | 39 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 48% / 44% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 37 | 44% / 50% | 25 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 44% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 26% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 35 | 38% / 51% | 75 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 41% / 48% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 34 | 35% / 51% | 44 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 39% / 49% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 30 | 39% / 49% | 63 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 47% / 52% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 27 | 30% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 50% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 27 | 36% / 50% | 56 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 49% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 25 | 36% / 50% | 45 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 42% / 47% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 26 | 46% / 50% | 92 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 58% / 57% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 20% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 23 | 45% / 50% | 41 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 55% / 54% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 23 | 44% / 50% | 32 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 54% / 57% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 23 | 42% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 59% / 57% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 25 | 38% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 43% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 18 | 31% / 48% | 109 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 57% | 8 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 20 | 35% / 49% | 18 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 50% / 58% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | – | – / 33% | – | void |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 30% | – | void |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 22% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 21 | 40% / 50% | 66 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 51% | 7 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 17% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 17 | 26% / 52% | 40 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 56% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 20 | 38% / 51% | 15 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 50% / 53% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 21 | 39% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 23 | 39% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 51% / 59% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 19% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 23 | 38% / 49% | 39 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 49% / 58% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 21 | 41% / 49% | 28 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 49% / 52% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 17 | 37% / 50% | 27 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 45% / 56% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 23 | 36% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 34% / 46% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 28% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 26 | 40% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 46% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 23 | 37% / 50% | 51 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 43% / 43% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 23 | 38% / 50% | 17 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 43% / 41% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 23% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 22 | 33% / 50% | 52 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 35% / 42% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 28% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 31.5 | – | – / 51% | 56 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | – | – / 59% | 5 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W3 Under 41.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 38.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 46.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 46.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 46.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 47.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 47.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 40.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 17.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 39.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 17.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 38.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 38.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 38.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 39.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 39.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 17.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 38.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 38.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 16.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 35.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 30.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Over 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 33.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 36.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Over 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 41.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Over 40.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 41.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 41.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 36.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Under 37.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Over 32.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Under 43.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W17 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Under 42.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Over 42.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W16 Under 42.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Under 42.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W13 Under 44.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology