Edgehalla

RB · DAL · 62 lines since 2023

Hunter Luepke Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Hunter Luepke, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 9% — we make it 11%

Over/under record by market

  • Receiving yards over 1, under 1 (2 graded)
  • Receptions over 1, under 2 (3 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 2, under 51 (53 graded)
  • Longest reception over 1, under 1 (2 graded)

Our calls on him: model 3–9

Line vs actual vs our projection

Hunter Luepke prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 9%–…
2026 W4Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 8%0under
2026 W3Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 8%0under
2026 W2Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 10%0under
2026 W2Rec0.5040% / 53%0under
2026 W1Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 9%0under
2025 W17Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 10%0under
2025 W17Long rec2.5040% / 49%14over
2025 W17Rec yds1.5043% / 51%14over
2025 W17Rec0.5047% / 55%1over
2025 W16Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 7%0under
2025 W15Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 6%0under
2025 W14Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 6%0under
2025 W13Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 7%0under
2025 W13Long rec0.5045% / 49%0under
2025 W13Rec yds0.5045% / 50%0under
2025 W13Rec0.5046% / 53%0under
2025 W12Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 7%0under
2025 W11Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2025 W9Any TD–11% TD chance11% / 5%0under
2025 W8Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 5%0under
2025 W7Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 6%0under
2025 W6Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 6%1over
2025 W5Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2025 W4Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 4%0under
2025 W3Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 5%0under
2025 W2Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 5%0under
2025 W1Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 6%0under
2024 W18Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 6%0under
2024 W17Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 5%0under
2024 W16Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 9%0under
2024 W15Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 6%0under
2024 W14Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 10%0under
2024 W13Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2024 W12Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2024 W11Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%–void
2024 W10Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 8%0under
2024 W9Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 10%0under
2024 W8Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 9%0under
2024 W6Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 11%0under
2024 W5Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 10%0under
2024 W4Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 8%0under
2024 W3Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2024 W2Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 14%0under
2024 W1Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 4%0under
2023 W18Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 13%0under
2023 W17Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 8%0under
2023 W16Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2023 W15Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 4%0under
2023 W14Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 8%0under
2023 W13Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 9%0under
2023 W12Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 14%0under
2023 W11Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 8%0under
2023 W10Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2023 W9Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 5%0under
2023 W8Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2023 W6Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 5%0under
2023 W5Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 6%0under
2023 W4Any TD–3% TD chance3% / 7%1over
2023 W3Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 7%0under
2023 W2Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2023 W1Any TD––– / 13%0under

Our calls

  • 2026 W2 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
  • 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
  • 2025 W17 Under 2.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W17 Under 1.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W17 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W13 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W9 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W8 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W7 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W6 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W2 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology