WR · CLE · 55 lines since 2023
Isaiah Bond Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Isaiah Bond, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 4% — we make it 3%
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 6, under 6 (12 graded)
- Receptions over 3, under 8 (11 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 20 (20 graded)
- Longest reception over 6, under 5 (11 graded)
Our calls on him: model 11–12 · Freezing 0–2 · Wind 15+ mph 2–1 · Starters out on defense 0–1 · Pre-snap motion 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 4% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 8.5 | 12 | 59% / 51% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 15 | 56% / 50% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 44% / 35% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 12.5 | 11 | 45% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 13 | 46% / 49% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 43% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 10.5 | 12 | 52% / 51% | 47 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 15 | 49% / 50% | 89 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 42% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 6.5 | 10 | 59% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 12 | 59% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 35% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 7.5 | 8.3 | 52% / 49% | 52 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 10.0 | 52% / 49% | 58 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 36% / 35% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 12 | 60% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 14.5 | 12 | 43% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 16 | 35% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 13.5 | 15 | 53% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 21 | 45% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 35% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 15.5 | 14 | 44% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 19 | 34% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 33% / 58% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 14.5 | 9.7 | 35% / 51% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 13 | 23% / 50% | 29 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 23% / 54% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 10.5 | 7.2 | 41% / 51% | 35 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 8.6 | 38% / 51% | 58 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 38% / 57% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 5.5 | 2.0 | 40% / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 2.1 | 41% / 51% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 7% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 15.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 15.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 15.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 7.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 7.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 14.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 24.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 24.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 15.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 30.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 14.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 29.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 5.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology