WR · GB · 5 lines since 2023
J. Michael Sturdivant Player Props
Closing consensus lines for J. Michael Sturdivant, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 5% — we make it 5%
Over/under record by market
- Receptions over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 3 (3 graded)
Our calls on him: model 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 5% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 56% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | – | – / 5% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology