WR · CHI · 22 lines since 2023
Jahdae Walker Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Jahdae Walker, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 7% — we make it 6%
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
- Receptions over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
- Anytime TD over 3, under 8 (11 graded)
- Longest reception over 1, under 0 (1 graded)
Our calls on him: model 1–3 · Starters out on defense 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 7% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 9% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 9% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 10.5 | 5.9 | 38% / 50% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 6.4 | 38% / 51% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 29% / 41% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 10% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 3% | – | void |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 4% | – | void |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 6% | – | void |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | – | – / 7% | – | void |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | – | – / 9% | – | void |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 5% | – | void |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | – | – / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 4% | – | void |
Our calls
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 12.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 12.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology