RB · DET · 254 lines since 2023
Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Jahmyr Gibbs, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 82% — we make it 72%
- Line 15.5 yds longest rec — we project 16 (P(over) 53%)
- Line 37.5 rec yds — we project 33 (P(over) 44%)
- Line 4.5 receptions — we project 4 (P(over) 37%)
- Line 19.5 rush attempts — we project 20 (P(over) 53%)
- Line 133.5 rush + rec yds — we project 147 (P(over) 58%)
- Line 90.5 rush yds — we project 107 (P(over) 63%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 32, under 21 (53 graded)
- Receiving yards over 26, under 27 (53 graded)
- Receptions over 27, under 26 (53 graded)
- Anytime TD over 35, under 18 (53 graded)
- Rush attempts over 9, under 8 (17 graded)
- Longest reception over 7, under 10 (17 graded)
Our calls on him: model 89–71 · Dome team outdoors 7–9 · Pre-snap motion 13–11 · Missed tackles 14–20 · Short week 3–3 · Explosive plays 3–0 · Big favourite (6.5+) 4–3 · Starters out on defense 8–2 · Red-zone defense 4–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 72% TD chance | 72% / 82% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 15.5 | 16 | 53% / 48% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 33 | 44% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 37% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 19.5 | 20 | 53% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush+rec yds | 133.5 | 147 | 58% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 90.5 | 107 | 63% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 69% TD chance | 69% / 78% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 37.5 | 33 | 44% / 50% | 31 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 40% / 52% | 4 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 96.5 | 107 | 59% / 50% | 46 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 66% TD chance | 66% / 75% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 35.5 | 28 | 39% / 49% | 65 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 32% / 46% | 7 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 89.5 | 107 | 63% / 50% | 99 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 61% TD chance | 61% / 74% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 24 | 37% / 51% | 61 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 28% / 44% | 6 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 87.5 | 96 | 58% / 50% | 52 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 76% TD chance | 76% / 74% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 30.5 | 38 | 61% / 50% | 30 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 49% / 44% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 86.5 | 132 | 78% / 50% | 156 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 58% TD chance | 58% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 12.5 | 14 | 59% / 49% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 33 | 56% / 50% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 46% / 45% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rush att | 13.5 | 15 | 58% / 48% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Rush yds | 61.5 | 74 | 62% / 50% | 80 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 66% TD chance | 66% / 67% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 13.5 | 15 | 56% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 32 | 47% / 50% | 23 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 42% / 52% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 15.5 | 17 | 60% / 47% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 74.5 | 98 | 70% / 51% | 41 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 66% TD chance | 66% / 73% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 14.5 | 16 | 54% / 52% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 32 | 40% / 50% | 66 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 5.5 | 4 | 25% / 43% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 15.5 | 15 | 50% / 51% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 75.5 | 98 | 68% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 58% TD chance | 58% / 65% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 15.5 | 15 | 46% / 51% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 31 | 37% / 51% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 5.5 | 4 | 28% / 43% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 15.5 | 14 | 39% / 46% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 72.5 | 78 | 55% / 50% | 38 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 63% TD chance | 63% / 71% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 14.5 | 15 | 52% / 51% | 26 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 33.5 | 32 | 47% / 51% | 77 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 37% / 52% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush att | 16.5 | 15 | 43% / 48% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 80.5 | 99 | 65% / 50% | 43 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 66% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 15.5 | 15 | 46% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 38.5 | 29 | 36% / 51% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 5.5 | 4 | 24% / 45% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 15.5 | 14 | 41% / 47% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 71.5 | 92 | 66% / 49% | 68 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 67% TD chance | 67% / 77% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 13.5 | 16 | 59% / 49% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 29.5 | 29 | 50% / 50% | 45 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 41% / 49% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 14.5 | 15 | 53% / 50% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 74.5 | 99 | 68% / 50% | 219 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 52% TD chance | 52% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 12.5 | 11 | 43% / 48% | 42 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 21.5 | 19 | 45% / 52% | 107 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 38% / 45% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rush att | 13.5 | 13 | 46% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 61.5 | 68 | 56% / 50% | 39 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 62% TD chance | 62% / 60% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 12.5 | 12 | 46% / 48% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 20 | 44% / 50% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 51% / 58% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 14.5 | 15 | 56% / 52% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 71.5 | 90 | 64% / 50% | 142 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 63% TD chance | 63% / 67% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 11.5 | 12 | 52% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 21.5 | 20 | 47% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 33% / 41% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 15.5 | 16 | 56% / 48% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 75.5 | 94 | 65% / 50% | 25 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 65% TD chance | 65% / 67% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 12.5 | 12 | 50% / 51% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 22 | 43% / 52% | 82 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 38% / 52% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 13.5 | 15 | 57% / 46% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 57.5 | 83 | 72% / 49% | 136 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 58% TD chance | 58% / 60% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 12.5 | 11 | 43% / 51% | -3 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 20 | 34% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 41% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 13.5 | 14 | 54% / 50% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 65.5 | 71 | 55% / 50% | 65 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 63% TD chance | 63% / 70% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 12.5 | 13 | 52% / 51% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 24 | 46% / 50% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 55% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 15.5 | 15 | 49% / 49% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 72.5 | 91 | 66% / 50% | 54 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 62% TD chance | 62% / 65% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 12.5 | 12 | 46% / 52% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 22 | 41% / 51% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 44% / 54% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 14.5 | 15 | 52% / 46% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 62.5 | 81 | 65% / 50% | 91 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 52% TD chance | 52% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 12.5 | 12 | 47% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 23 | 40% / 51% | 32 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 32% / 43% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 11.5 | 12 | 53% / 52% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 55.5 | 67 | 60% / 50% | 67 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 57% TD chance | 57% / 63% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 12.5 | 13 | 51% / 52% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 25 | 44% / 50% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 53% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 13.5 | 14 | 56% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 66.5 | 78 | 61% / 50% | 94 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 65% TD chance | 65% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 12.5 | 14 | 55% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 24.5 | 28 | 56% / 50% | 31 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 53% / 44% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rush att | 13.5 | 20 | 80% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rush yds | 69.5 | 107 | 78% / 49% | 19 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 68% TD chance | 68% / 76% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 27 | 38% / 50% | 31 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 22% / 44% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rush yds | 89.5 | 111 | 66% / 51% | 139 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 64% TD chance | 64% / 71% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 23 | 44% / 50% | 46 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 32% / 53% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rush yds | 84.5 | 117 | 71% / 50% | 117 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 71% TD chance | 71% / 76% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 23 | 42% / 51% | 45 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 36% / 53% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rush yds | 93.5 | 142 | 77% / 50% | 109 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 60% TD chance | 60% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 17 | 43% / 51% | 83 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 55% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rush yds | 67.5 | 84 | 64% / 50% | 31 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 56% TD chance | 56% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 16 | 40% / 51% | 30 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 54% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rush yds | 67.5 | 86 | 67% / 50% | 43 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 62% TD chance | 62% / 66% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 15 | 41% / 50% | 17 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 37% / 52% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rush yds | 74.5 | 98 | 68% / 50% | 87 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 60% TD chance | 60% / 61% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 17 | 45% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 36% / 50% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Rush yds | 66.5 | 90 | 70% / 50% | 90 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 62% TD chance | 62% / 63% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 20 | 52% / 51% | 54 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 52% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rush yds | 71.5 | 104 | 73% / 49% | 69 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 57% TD chance | 57% / 60% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 16 | 47% / 50% | 37 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 45% / 52% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rush yds | 63.5 | 82 | 64% / 51% | 71 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 55% TD chance | 55% / 55% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 14 | 41% / 50% | 11 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 40% / 56% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rush yds | 70.5 | 79 | 57% / 50% | 65 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 61% TD chance | 61% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 17 | 44% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 64.5 | 84 | 66% / 50% | 127 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 45% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 21.5 | 18 | 42% / 50% | 44 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 31% / 41% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rush yds | 49.5 | 59 | 62% / 50% | 116 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 57% TD chance | 57% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 21.5 | 14 | 34% / 50% | 28 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 20% / 41% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rush yds | 59.5 | 76 | 66% / 49% | 63 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 53% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 15 | 34% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 24% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rush yds | 51.5 | 65 | 64% / 51% | 78 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 56% TD chance | 56% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 17 | 39% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 29% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rush yds | 51.5 | 61 | 62% / 50% | 83 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 62% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 19 | 37% / 50% | 22 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 29% / 49% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rush yds | 48.5 | 65 | 66% / 51% | 84 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 56% TD chance | 56% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 18 | 39% / 50% | 34 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 45% / 60% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rush yds | 53.5 | 61 | 58% / 49% | 40 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 55% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 20 | 38% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 38% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Rush yds | 56.5 | 69 | 62% / 49% | 30 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 50% TD chance | 50% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 16 | 32% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 34% / 49% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rush yds | 50.5 | 66 | 65% / 50% | 43 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 52% TD chance | 52% / 50% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 19 | 43% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 38% / 46% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rush yds | 47.5 | 65 | 68% / 50% | 80 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 22 | 40% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 40% / 54% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rush yds | 52.5 | 63 | 60% / 52% | 100 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 45% TD chance | 45% / 43% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 20 | 34% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 40% / 55% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 51 | 62% / 50% | 66 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 50% TD chance | 50% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 24 | 43% / 49% | -6 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 52% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rush yds | 44.5 | 59 | 67% / 51% | 60 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 23 | 42% / 51% | 19 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 41% / 55% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rush yds | 48.5 | 65 | 67% / 51% | 54 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 25.5 | 22 | 43% / 50% | 59 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 39% / 50% | 6 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rush yds | 43.5 | 54 | 62% / 50% | 36 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 51% TD chance | 51% / 37% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 21.5 | 22 | 51% / 52% | 35 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 66% / 62% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rush yds | 36.5 | 65 | 78% / 50% | 77 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 61% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 25 | 44% / 49% | 37 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 51% / 58% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rush yds | 71.5 | 68 | 47% / 50% | 152 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 50% TD chance | 50% / 45% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 15 | 36% / 50% | 58 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 35% / 43% | 9 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rush yds | 55.5 | 52 | 46% / 50% | 68 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 25 | 34% / 49% | – | void |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 17 | 45% / 51% | 11 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 55% / 57% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 45 | 63% / 51% | 40 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 53% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 28.5 | 22 | 38% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 51% / 56% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rush yds | 49.5 | 45 | 44% / 51% | 80 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 6.1 | 10% / 49% | 39 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 1 | 7% / 46% | 7 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 26 | 27% / 51% | 17 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 31.5 | – | – / 51% | 18 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 3.5 | – | – / 55% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rush yds | 38.5 | – | – / 51% | 42 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Under 37.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 96.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Over 96.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Over 96.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 35.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 89.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Over 89.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 89.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 31.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 87.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 87.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 87.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 87.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Over 30.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 86.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 28.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 13.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 61.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 61.5 rush yds (Explosive plays, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 61.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 61.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 15.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 15.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 74.5 rush yds (Explosive plays, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 74.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 74.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 74.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 39.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 15.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 75.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 75.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 75.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 15.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 72.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 72.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 16.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 80.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 80.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 38.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 15.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 71.5 rush yds (Explosive plays, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 71.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 71.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 71.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 71.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Anytime TD: yes (Red-zone defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 13.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology