WR · ARI · 47 lines since 2023
Jalen Brooks Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Jalen Brooks, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 11% — we make it 4%
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 3, under 4 (7 graded)
- Receptions over 1, under 4 (5 graded)
- Anytime TD over 1, under 30 (31 graded)
- Longest reception over 1, under 1 (2 graded)
Our calls on him: model 8–5 · Starters out on defense 0–1 · Dome team outdoors 3–0 · Short week 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 11% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 2% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 2% TD chance | 2% / 2% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 7.5 | 0.7 | 34% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 0.7 | 33% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 51% / 66% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 8.5 | 9.8 | 54% / 51% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 13 | 55% / 49% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 41% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 7% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 6.6 | 43% / 50% | 26 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 27% / 39% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 8.6 | 43% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 31% / 45% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 5.8 | 33% / 50% | 15 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 24% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 5.5 | 36% / 49% | 10 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 4.5 | 7.0 | 54% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 4% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | – | void |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | – | – / 9% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2025 W18 Under 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Over 8.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W9 Under 11.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W9 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W8 Under 12.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Under 12.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W6 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W6 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W5 Under 12.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W5 Under 12.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W4 Under 4.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W4 Under 4.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology