QB · PHI · 260 lines since 2023
Jalen Hurts Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Jalen Hurts, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 34% — we make it 14%
- Line 31.5 pass attempts — we project 31 (P(over) 47%)
- Line 18.5 completions — we project 20 (P(over) 61%)
- Line 0.5 pass TDs — we project 1 (P(over) 62%)
- Line 190.5 pass yds — we project 177 (P(over) 43%)
- Line 6.5 rush attempts — we project 5 (P(over) 22%)
- Line 27.5 rush yds — we project 16 (P(over) 25%)
Over/under record by market
- Passing yards over 22, under 29 (51 graded)
- Passing TDs over 23, under 28 (51 graded)
- Rushing yards over 20, under 31 (51 graded)
- Anytime TD over 28, under 24 (52 graded)
- Pass attempts over 9, under 7 (16 graded)
- Completions over 8, under 8 (16 graded)
- Rush attempts over 3, under 13 (16 graded)
Our calls on him: Big underdog (6.5+) 0–0 · Starters out on defense 4–5 · model 77–54 · Man coverage 4–2 · Low total (40.5 or less) 2–3 · Big favourite (6.5+) 3–3 · Freezing 2–0 · Wind 15+ mph 3–3 · Short week 2–1 · Pressure 2–4 · High total (48.5+) 4–6 · Play action 1–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 34% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Pass att | 31.5 | 31 | 47% / 48% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Cmp | 18.5 | 20 | 61% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1 | 62% / 63% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Pass yds | 190.5 | 177 | 43% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 6.5 | 5 | 22% / 46% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 27.5 | 16 | 25% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Pass TDs | 0.5 | 1 | 70% / 67% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Pass yds | 186.5 | 197 | 55% / 50% | 93 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 26.5 | 19 | 33% / 50% | 18 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 40% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Pass yds | 215.5 | 209 | 48% / 51% | 153 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 25.5 | 21 | 42% / 51% | 25 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 40% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Pass yds | 206.5 | 210 | 52% / 50% | 264 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 29.5 | 25 | 40% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 45% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Pass yds | 212.5 | 227 | 57% / 50% | 203 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 29.5 | 22 | 35% / 51% | 46 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Pass att | 25.5 | 29 | 72% / 52% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Cmp | 16.5 | 19 | 70% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 38% / 38% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Pass yds | 184.5 | 195 | 56% / 50% | 110 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 6.5 | 6 | 38% / 52% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 30.5 | 21 | 32% / 52% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Pass att | 28.5 | 30 | 57% / 49% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Cmp | 18.5 | 19 | 56% / 51% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 51% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Pass yds | 217.5 | 225 | 53% / 50% | 185 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 7.5 | 6 | 31% / 47% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 29.5 | 26 | 42% / 51% | 40 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 54% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Pass att | 27.5 | 30 | 63% / 52% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Cmp | 17.5 | 19 | 60% / 52% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 42% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Pass yds | 200.5 | 217 | 59% / 50% | 175 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 7.5 | 7 | 40% / 46% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 27.5 | 27 | 49% / 49% | 39 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Pass att | 28.5 | 30 | 56% / 48% | 40 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Cmp | 18.5 | 19 | 56% / 52% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 43% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Pass yds | 200.5 | 197 | 48% / 50% | 240 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush att | 7.5 | 6 | 30% / 56% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 33.5 | 22 | 28% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 54% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Pass att | 27.5 | 31 | 68% / 47% | 34 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Cmp | 18.5 | 20 | 63% / 47% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 49% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Pass yds | 210.5 | 232 | 60% / 50% | 230 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 7.5 | 7 | 36% / 53% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 33.5 | 25 | 35% / 49% | 31 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 51% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Pass att | 27.5 | 30 | 63% / 50% | 39 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Cmp | 19.5 | 20 | 51% / 47% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Pass yds | 215.5 | 228 | 56% / 50% | 289 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 7.5 | 6 | 32% / 45% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 29.5 | 24 | 39% / 50% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 48% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Pass att | 26.5 | 30 | 67% / 51% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Cmp | 17.5 | 20 | 66% / 52% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Pass yds | 206.5 | 220 | 56% / 50% | 135 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rush att | 7.5 | 6 | 27% / 48% | 10 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 29.5 | 23 | 38% / 50% | 31 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Pass att | 26.5 | 31 | 73% / 52% | 26 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Cmp | 18.5 | 21 | 66% / 52% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 42% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Pass yds | 199.5 | 217 | 59% / 51% | 183 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 8.5 | 6 | 16% / 47% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 31.5 | 20 | 28% / 50% | 27 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 59% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Pass att | 27.5 | 31 | 71% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Cmp | 18.5 | 21 | 69% / 53% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 51% / 43% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Pass yds | 203.5 | 240 | 66% / 51% | 179 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush att | 8.5 | 7 | 27% / 46% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 30.5 | 26 | 41% / 50% | 22 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Pass att | 28.5 | 31 | 63% / 47% | 23 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Cmp | 19.5 | 20 | 56% / 47% | 19 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 43% / 35% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Pass yds | 200.5 | 211 | 57% / 49% | 326 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 8.5 | 7 | 31% / 49% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 28 | 37% / 49% | -10 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Pass att | 26.5 | 32 | 78% / 51% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Cmp | 18.5 | 21 | 68% / 48% | 24 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 38% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Pass yds | 196.5 | 229 | 64% / 50% | 283 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 9.5 | 7 | 22% / 46% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 39.5 | 31 | 33% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 60% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Pass att | 27.5 | 31 | 69% / 50% | 38 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Cmp | 18.5 | 21 | 64% / 45% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 45% / 33% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Pass yds | 186.5 | 222 | 66% / 50% | 280 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 9.5 | 7 | 25% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 39.5 | 33 | 38% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Pass att | 27.5 | 30 | 65% / 48% | 24 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Cmp | 18.5 | 20 | 61% / 48% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 36% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Pass yds | 194.5 | 216 | 60% / 50% | 130 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 9.5 | 8 | 28% / 49% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 31 | 33% / 50% | 62 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Pass att | 27.5 | 30 | 62% / 47% | 32 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Cmp | 18.5 | 19 | 58% / 51% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 39% / 36% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Pass yds | 192.5 | 213 | 59% / 50% | 226 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 9.5 | 8 | 32% / 47% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 31 | 36% / 50% | 40 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 55% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Pass att | 28.5 | 31 | 63% / 50% | 22 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Cmp | 19.5 | 21 | 59% / 51% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 39% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Pass yds | 213.5 | 227 | 57% / 52% | 101 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 8.5 | 8 | 38% / 55% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 32 | 37% / 50% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 61% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Pass att | 27.5 | – | – / 47% | 23 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Cmp | 18.5 | – | – / 49% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | – | – / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Pass yds | 214.5 | – | – / 48% | 152 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rush att | 9.5 | – | – / 50% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rush yds | 40.5 | – | – / 50% | 62 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 58% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 35% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Pass yds | 199.5 | 211 | 55% / 50% | 11 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rush yds | 38.5 | 36 | 46% / 50% | 41 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 55% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 38% / 33% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Pass yds | 196.5 | 209 | 56% / 50% | 290 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Rush yds | 37.5 | 33 | 41% / 50% | 45 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 63% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 44% / 40% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Pass yds | 200.5 | 235 | 64% / 50% | 108 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 42 | 53% / 50% | 59 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 53% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 34% / 37% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Pass yds | 228.5 | 237 | 54% / 51% | 118 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rush yds | 36.5 | 30 | 40% / 50% | 29 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 59% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 37% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Pass yds | 219.5 | 233 | 56% / 50% | 179 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rush yds | 38.5 | 36 | 46% / 49% | 39 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 52% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 44% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Pass yds | 227.5 | 228 | 50% / 50% | 221 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rush yds | 41.5 | 38 | 44% / 50% | 39 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 50% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 37% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Pass yds | 217.5 | 216 | 49% / 49% | 202 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rush yds | 34.5 | 38 | 56% / 50% | 56 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 51% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 43% / 44% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Pass yds | 219.5 | 246 | 61% / 50% | 230 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rush yds | 38.5 | 33 | 40% / 51% | 67 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 42% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 37% / 36% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Pass yds | 221.5 | 224 | 52% / 50% | 236 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 30 | 38% / 49% | 37 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 42% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 36% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Pass yds | 217.5 | 223 | 53% / 50% | 114 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rush yds | 37.5 | 31 | 39% / 50% | 22 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 41% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Pass yds | 225.5 | 234 | 53% / 50% | 264 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rush yds | 41.5 | 35 | 39% / 50% | 33 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 44% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 36% / 32% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Pass yds | 200.5 | 222 | 61% / 50% | 158 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 30 | 32% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Pass yds | 222.5 | 228 | 52% / 50% | 311 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rush yds | 43.5 | 32 | 31% / 51% | 25 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 52% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 42% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Pass yds | 226.5 | 238 | 54% / 48% | 183 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 33 | 38% / 50% | 85 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 45% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Pass yds | 240.5 | 246 | 53% / 50% | 278 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 28 | 30% / 50% | 33 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 73% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 50% / 50% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Pass yds | 243.5 | 262 | 59% / 50% | 167 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rush yds | 43.5 | 41 | 46% / 50% | 25 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 64% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 49% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Pass yds | 233.5 | 254 | 59% / 50% | 301 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rush yds | 41.5 | 39 | 46% / 50% | 34 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 58% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 43% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Pass yds | 249.5 | 263 | 55% / 49% | 143 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rush yds | 36.5 | 31 | 42% / 50% | 82 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 58% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 44% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Pass yds | 256.5 | 249 | 47% / 49% | 197 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rush yds | 41.5 | 28 | 30% / 51% | 30 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 50% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 46% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Pass yds | 239.5 | 232 | 45% / 50% | 298 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rush yds | 44.5 | 25 | 19% / 48% | 20 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 59% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 49% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Pass yds | 245.5 | 250 | 51% / 50% | 200 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rush yds | 38.5 | 27 | 30% / 50% | 65 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 49% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 44% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Pass yds | 234.5 | 233 | 49% / 49% | 150 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rush yds | 39.5 | 24 | 23% / 51% | 29 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 52% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 47% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Pass yds | 253.5 | 245 | 47% / 50% | 207 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Rush yds | 28.5 | 25 | 43% / 50% | 36 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 53% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 46% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Pass yds | 253.5 | 246 | 47% / 49% | 319 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rush yds | 34.5 | 33 | 48% / 47% | 6 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 47% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Pass yds | 255.5 | 274 | 58% / 50% | 279 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rush yds | 46.5 | 32 | 28% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 55% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 45% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Pass yds | 233.5 | 225 | 45% / 51% | 280 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Rush yds | 45.5 | 34 | 33% / 50% | 47 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 36% / 46% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Pass yds | 242.5 | 256 | 56% / 50% | 303 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rush yds | 43.5 | 23 | 18% / 49% | 72 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 54% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 32% / 46% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Pass yds | 233.5 | 253 | 59% / 49% | 319 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rush yds | 42.5 | 22 | 16% / 50% | 34 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 47% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 35% / 47% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Pass yds | 238.5 | 244 | 53% / 50% | 277 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rush yds | 45.5 | 23 | 16% / 50% | 28 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 53% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 32% / 55% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Pass yds | 254.5 | 226 | 38% / 51% | 193 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rush yds | 48.5 | 24 | 16% / 50% | 35 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | – | – / 47% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Pass yds | 242.5 | – | – / 50% | 170 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rush yds | 42.5 | – | – / 51% | 37 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Over 31.5 pass attempts (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W5 Over 18.5 completions (Big underdog (6.5+), backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W4 Over 186.5 pass yds (Starters out on defense, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 26.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Over 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 215.5 pass yds (Man coverage, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 25.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 206.5 pass yds (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 29.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Over 212.5 pass yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Under 29.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 25.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 16.5 completions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 184.5 pass yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 184.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 6.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 30.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 28.5 pass attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 28.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 18.5 completions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 29.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 27.5 pass attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 27.5 pass attempts (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 27.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 17.5 completions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 200.5 pass yds (Freezing, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 200.5 pass yds (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 200.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 200.5 pass yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 28.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 33.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 27.5 pass attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 27.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 18.5 completions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 210.5 pass yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 210.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 210.5 pass yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 33.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 27.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 215.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 29.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 26.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 17.5 completions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 206.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 206.5 pass yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 7.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 29.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 26.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 18.5 completions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Over 199.5 pass yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 199.5 pass yds (Man coverage, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 199.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 8.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology