WR · MIN · 157 lines since 2023
Jauan Jennings Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Jauan Jennings, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 18% — we make it 21%
- Line 13.5 yds longest rec — we project 15 (P(over) 54%)
- Line 20.5 rec yds — we project 23 (P(over) 54%)
- Line 1.5 receptions — we project 2 (P(over) 66%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 21, under 25 (46 graded)
- Receptions over 24, under 22 (46 graded)
- Anytime TD over 12, under 34 (46 graded)
- Longest reception over 6, under 9 (15 graded)
Our calls on him: Middle of the field 1–3 · Pre-snap motion 3–7 · Dome team outdoors 1–0 · model 21–36 · Wind 15+ mph 0–3 · Starters out on defense 1–7 · Missed tackles 0–2 · Short week 4–0 · Freezing 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 21% TD chance | 21% / 18% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 13.5 | 15 | 54% / 51% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 23 | 54% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 66% / 60% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 28 | 52% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 48% / 47% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 22 | 63% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 64% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 27% TD chance | 27% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 44 | 78% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 70% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Long rec | 18.5 | 22 | 61% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec yds | 43.5 | 47 | 55% / 50% | 35 | under |
| 2025 W18 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 45% / 44% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 44% TD chance | 44% / 46% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 21.5 | 25 | 58% / 51% | 38 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 55.5 | 55 | 49% / 50% | 42 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 48% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 42% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 21.5 | 25 | 60% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 56.5 | 60 | 53% / 51% | 71 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 4.5 | 5 | 54% / 51% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 33% TD chance | 33% / 36% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 19.5 | 23 | 59% / 50% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 48.5 | 45 | 46% / 51% | 37 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 35% / 45% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 26% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 17.5 | 18 | 52% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 35 | 48% / 50% | 39 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 44% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 36% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 20.5 | 23 | 57% / 49% | 12 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 48.5 | 44 | 46% / 50% | 41 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 50% / 60% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 20.5 | 23 | 57% / 50% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 48.5 | 48 | 49% / 50% | 54 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 55% / 59% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 29% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 19.5 | 21 | 55% / 50% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 48.5 | 43 | 45% / 50% | 71 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 38% / 47% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 33% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 20.5 | 23 | 56% / 49% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 49.5 | 44 | 45% / 50% | 41 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 34% / 45% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 24% TD chance | 24% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 17.5 | 18 | 52% / 50% | 25 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 40.5 | 36 | 44% / 50% | 45 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 46% / 58% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 17.5 | 22 | 62% / 52% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 41 | 56% / 49% | 31 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 46% / 46% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 19.5 | 21 | 55% / 51% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 51.5 | 41 | 39% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 34% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 18.5 | 22 | 61% / 51% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 45 | 53% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 50% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 27% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 18.5 | 18 | 48% / 49% | 42 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 31 | 40% / 50% | 89 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 37% / 50% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 28% TD chance | 28% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 19.5 | 23 | 62% / 52% | 11 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 48.5 | 52 | 54% / 49% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 49% / 42% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 79.5 | 63 | 36% / 51% | 52 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec | 5.5 | 6 | 54% / 53% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 31% TD chance | 31% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 64.5 | 60 | 45% / 50% | 67 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 38% / 43% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 64.5 | 57 | 44% / 52% | 51 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 38% / 45% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 70.5 | 60 | 41% / 51% | 31 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 5.5 | 5 | 38% / 48% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 31% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rec yds | 57.5 | 49 | 42% / 51% | 90 | over |
| 2024 W14 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 43% / 53% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 23% TD chance | 23% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 52.5 | 45 | 42% / 49% | 56 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 48% / 48% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 49.5 | 43 | 43% / 50% | 40 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 4.5 | 4 | 44% / 43% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 59.5 | 42 | 35% / 51% | 91 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 25% / 49% | 10 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 44.5 | 45 | 50% / 50% | 93 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 41% / 48% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 40 | 60% / 50% | 27 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 60% / 52% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 29% TD chance | 29% / 33% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 39.5 | 46 | 56% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 43% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 32% TD chance | 32% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 55 | 73% / 50% | 88 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 78% / 52% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 26% TD chance | 26% / 32% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 42.5 | 41 | 48% / 49% | 175 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 44% / 49% | 11 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 21.5 | 24 | 53% / 52% | 37 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 65% / 60% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 19 | 49% / 49% | 64 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 57% / 59% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 18 | 50% / 50% | 25 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 49% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 21 | 57% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 15% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 20 | 57% / 50% | 44 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 53% / 42% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 18 | 56% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 23 | 59% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 57% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 29 | 67% / 48% | 8 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 69% / 47% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 32.5 | 36 | 55% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 56% / 53% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 24% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 26.5 | 28 | 52% / 50% | 54 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 43% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 11 | 45% / 50% | 26 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 39% / 37% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 19 | 52% / 50% | 19 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 55% / 52% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 27% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 27 | 44% / 49% | 31 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 42% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 14 | 47% / 49% | 51 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 44% / 48% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 16.5 | – | – / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | – | – / 51% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Over 26.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Over 26.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 14.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Over 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 19.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W18 Over 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W18 Under 43.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W18 Under 43.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 55.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 21.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 48.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 36.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 36.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 48.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 48.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 48.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 20.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 49.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 49.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 40.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 17.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 36.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 36.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 36.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Over 51.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 51.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 18.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 41.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Under 39.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W2 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 19.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W18 Under 79.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Under 64.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W16 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Over 70.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Over 70.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Over 70.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Under 70.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Over 70.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W15 Under 70.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W15 Under 5.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W14 Under 57.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W14 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Under 52.5 rec yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Under 52.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W13 Under 52.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology