RB · DAL · 251 lines since 2023
Javonte Williams Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Javonte Williams, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 68% — we make it 66%
- Line 8.5 yds longest rec — we project 9.7 (P(over) 57%)
- Line 13.5 rec yds — we project 15 (P(over) 54%)
- Line 2.5 receptions — we project 2 (P(over) 42%)
- Line 16.5 rush attempts — we project 17 (P(over) 52%)
- Line 85.5 rush + rec yds — we project 97 (P(over) 59%)
- Line 67.5 rush yds — we project 79 (P(over) 61%)
Over/under record by market
- Rushing yards over 25, under 27 (52 graded)
- Receiving yards over 24, under 29 (53 graded)
- Receptions over 27, under 23 (50 graded)
- Anytime TD over 22, under 35 (57 graded)
- Rush attempts over 8, under 8 (16 graded)
- Longest reception over 3, under 13 (16 graded)
Our calls on him: Big favourite (6.5+) 0–1 · Missed tackles 12–15 · Short week 3–2 · model 56–52 · Starters out on defense 3–2 · Dome team outdoors 3–3 · Pre-snap motion 5–9 · Big underdog (6.5+) 0–2
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 66% TD chance | 66% / 68% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 8.5 | 9.7 | 57% / 52% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 15 | 54% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 42% / 53% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush att | 16.5 | 17 | 52% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush+rec yds | 85.5 | 97 | 59% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 67.5 | 79 | 61% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 13 | 49% / 50% | 21 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 40% / 52% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 57.5 | 63 | 56% / 50% | 62 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 60% TD chance | 60% / 62% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 15 | 52% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 45% / 54% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 54.5 | 65 | 61% / 50% | 98 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 66% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 13 | 50% / 50% | 20 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 37% / 48% | 3 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 76.5 | 69 | 43% / 50% | 30 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 64% TD chance | 64% / 61% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 13 | 55% / 50% | 31 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 35% / 40% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 76.5 | 77 | 50% / 50% | 41 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 60% TD chance | 60% / 64% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 7.5 | 8.2 | 53% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 11 | 56% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 55% / 60% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush att | 15.5 | 18 | 62% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rush yds | 73.5 | 96 | 68% / 50% | 54 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 59% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 6.5 | 6.9 | 52% / 52% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 9.2 | 52% / 51% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 26% / 39% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 16.5 | 17 | 52% / 48% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 69.5 | 83 | 62% / 51% | 34 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 62% TD chance | 62% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Long rec | 7.5 | 7.1 | 48% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 10.0 | 51% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 30% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 17.5 | 18 | 53% / 48% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 70.5 | 89 | 65% / 50% | 91 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 58% TD chance | 58% / 58% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Long rec | 7.5 | 7.8 | 51% / 48% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 11 | 53% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 57% / 59% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush att | 16.5 | 17 | 51% / 46% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 65.5 | 83 | 66% / 50% | 67 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 60% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 7.5 | 7.1 | 48% / 49% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 9.7 | 51% / 50% | 21 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 56% / 58% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 16.5 | 16 | 47% / 46% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 65.5 | 78 | 62% / 51% | 59 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 51% TD chance | 51% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 6.5 | 6.9 | 52% / 49% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 9.5 | 50% / 49% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 57% / 57% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 15.5 | 16 | 54% / 52% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 64.5 | 74 | 59% / 50% | 87 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 58% TD chance | 58% / 61% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 8.5 | 7.9 | 46% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 11 | 46% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 35% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rush att | 17.5 | 16 | 44% / 51% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 75.5 | 86 | 59% / 50% | 93 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 62% TD chance | 62% / 63% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 8.5 | 9.7 | 55% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 14 | 52% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 39% / 55% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 15.5 | 14 | 44% / 51% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 68.5 | 77 | 58% / 51% | 83 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 57% TD chance | 57% / 57% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.4 | 44% / 49% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 13 | 46% / 52% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 58% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush att | 15.5 | 14 | 40% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 62.5 | 69 | 56% / 51% | 41 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 65% TD chance | 65% / 63% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 8.5 | 11 | 61% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 19 | 57% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 55% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 15.5 | 16 | 52% / 51% | 19 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 64.5 | 85 | 68% / 50% | 116 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 64% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 9.5 | 11 | 54% / 52% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 19 | 57% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 57% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 17.5 | 17 | 50% / 48% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 75.5 | 90 | 64% / 50% | 29 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 59% TD chance | 59% / 56% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 9.5 | 10 | 53% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 18 | 52% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush att | 16.5 | 17 | 56% / 50% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rush yds | 68.5 | 79 | 60% / 50% | 135 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 47% TD chance | 47% / 42% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.1 | 42% / 52% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 16 | 46% / 51% | 15 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 38% / 44% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 13.5 | 14 | 51% / 51% | 20 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 48.5 | 55 | 58% / 48% | 85 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 52% TD chance | 52% / 53% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.9 | 47% / 49% | 6 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 16 | 52% / 51% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 54% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 15.5 | 15 | 47% / 52% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 64.5 | 65 | 50% / 50% | 76 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 54% TD chance | 54% / 53% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.4 | 45% / 48% | 11 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 12 | 46% / 50% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 34% / 48% | 6 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 14.5 | 16 | 60% / 52% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 53.5 | 65 | 62% / 50% | 97 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 53% TD chance | 53% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 8.5 | 9.7 | 57% / 51% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 17 | 59% / 50% | 10 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rush att | 10.5 | 13 | 69% / 51% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rush yds | 40.5 | 45 | 56% / 51% | 54 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 17 | 58% / 50% | 50 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 51% / 50% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 31% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 19 | 56% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 58% / 58% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rush yds | 19.5 | 34 | 74% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 16 | 51% / 51% | 29 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 54% / 59% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W16 | Rush yds | 39.5 | 40 | 51% / 49% | 24 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 15 | 49% / 49% | 8 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rush yds | 29.5 | 41 | 67% / 49% | 15 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 42% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 15 | 49% / 50% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 47% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Rush yds | 37.5 | 43 | 58% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 39% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 17 | 55% / 51% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rush yds | 38.5 | 47 | 61% / 50% | -2 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 36% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 17 | 50% / 49% | 28 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rush yds | 17.5 | 43 | 85% / 50% | 59 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 15 | 37% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 36% / 41% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 35 | 49% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 16 | 40% / 50% | 42 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 58% / 61% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 36 | 51% / 50% | 42 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 50% TD chance | 50% / 55% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 18 | 54% / 51% | 8 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 54% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 64.5 | 59 | 44% / 51% | 44 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 41% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 17 | 46% / 51% | 23 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 56% / 60% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Rush yds | 44.5 | 40 | 43% / 50% | 88 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 37% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 16 | 41% / 50% | 13 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 59% / 58% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rush yds | 49.5 | 36 | 31% / 50% | 23 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 45% TD chance | 45% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 15 | 50% / 49% | 50 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 52% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rush yds | 52.5 | 45 | 40% / 49% | 61 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 30% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 11 | 38% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 47% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rush yds | 28.5 | 28 | 49% / 50% | 77 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 12 | 39% / 49% | 29 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 43% / 54% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Rush yds | 45.5 | 35 | 34% / 49% | 12 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 10 | 34% / 49% | 48 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 54% | 5 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rush yds | 43.5 | 38 | 40% / 49% | 17 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 37% TD chance | 37% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 15 | 50% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 60% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rush yds | 52.5 | 46 | 43% / 50% | 23 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 36% TD chance | 36% / 36% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 10 | 45% / 51% | 43 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rush yds | 46.5 | 46 | 49% / 50% | 32 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 14 | 54% / 51% | 17 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 52% / 46% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rush yds | 55.5 | 52 | 45% / 50% | 41 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 43% TD chance | 43% / 48% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 13 | 41% / 49% | -5 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 51% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rush yds | 53.5 | 52 | 49% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 38% TD chance | 38% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 14 | 36% / 47% | -7 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 47% / 59% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rush yds | 53.5 | 53 | 49% / 50% | 27 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 40% TD chance | 40% / 44% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 13 | 37% / 50% | 25 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 47% / 57% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W14 | Rush yds | 62.5 | 53 | 39% / 50% | 66 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 41% TD chance | 41% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 14 | 44% / 51% | 24 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 46% / 59% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rush yds | 58.5 | 52 | 43% / 50% | 46 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 9.7 | 40% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 35% / 40% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rush yds | 57.5 | 50 | 41% / 51% | 65 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 42% TD chance | 42% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 14 | 38% / 49% | 16 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 27% / 42% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Rush yds | 69.5 | 53 | 32% / 50% | 37 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 35% TD chance | 35% / 39% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 12 | 39% / 49% | 31 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 46% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rush yds | 55.5 | 42 | 35% / 50% | 79 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 35% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 30% TD chance | 30% / 3% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 11 | 45% / 49% | 13 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 41% / 42% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rush yds | 48.5 | 40 | 38% / 51% | 85 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 43% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 9.2 | 46% / 50% | 14 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 55% / 57% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Rush yds | 46.5 | 36 | 35% / 49% | 82 | over |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 3% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 11 | 50% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 68% / 59% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rush yds | 35.5 | 24 | 29% / 48% | 52 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 39% TD chance | 39% / 1% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 15 | 55% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 41% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rush yds | 52.5 | 58 | 58% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 25% TD chance | 25% / 40% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 13 | 49% / 50% | 23 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 47% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rush yds | 49.5 | 35 | 30% / 49% | 42 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 1% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 15 | 61% / 51% | 14 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Rush yds | 49.5 | 33 | 26% / 50% | 44 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 10.5 | – | – / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | – | – / 58% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rush yds | 46.5 | – | – / 49% | 52 | over |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Over 17.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W5 Over 74.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W5 Under 74.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W4 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Over 57.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Over 57.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Over 54.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Over 76.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 76.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Over 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Under 76.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 15.5 rush attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 15.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 73.5 rush yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 73.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 73.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 73.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 73.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 73.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 69.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 69.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 69.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Over 70.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 70.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 65.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 65.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 65.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 65.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 65.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 65.5 rush yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 64.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 64.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 17.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 75.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 75.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 75.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 15.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 68.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 68.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 15.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 62.5 rush yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 62.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 62.5 rush yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Over 64.5 rush yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 64.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology