Edgehalla

WR · DAL · 96 lines since 2023

Jonathan Mingo Player Props

Closing consensus lines for Jonathan Mingo, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.

2026 Week 5

  • Anytime TD priced at 5% — we make it 4%

Over/under record by market

  • Rushing yards over 0, under 1 (1 graded)
  • Receiving yards over 6, under 18 (24 graded)
  • Receptions over 9, under 14 (23 graded)
  • Anytime TD over 0, under 41 (41 graded)
  • Longest reception over 0, under 1 (1 graded)

Our calls on him: model 14–15 · Dome team outdoors 1–0 · Short week 2–0 · Starters out on defense 0–3

Line vs actual vs our projection

Jonathan Mingo prop line history
WeekMarketLineWe projectedP(over) us / marketActualResult
2026 W5Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 5%–…
2026 W4Any TD–2% TD chance2% / 4%0under
2026 W3Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 5%0under
2026 W2Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 8%0under
2026 W1Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 6%0under
2025 W17Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 15%0under
2025 W17Long rec6.5035% / 50%0under
2025 W17Rec yds6.5035% / 51%0under
2025 W16Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 4%0under
2025 W15Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 6%0under
2025 W14Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 7%0under
2025 W13Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 5%–void
2025 W12Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 5%0under
2025 W11Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 7%–void
2025 W9Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 8%–void
2025 W8Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 11%–void
2024 W18Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 13%0under
2024 W17Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 7%0under
2024 W16Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 9%0under
2024 W15Any TD–4% TD chance4% / 6%0under
2024 W14Any TD–8% TD chance8% / 8%0under
2024 W13Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 7%0under
2024 W12Any TD–7% TD chance7% / 8%0under
2024 W11Any TD–5% TD chance5% / 9%0under
2024 W10Any TD–6% TD chance6% / 14%–void
2024 W9Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 13%0under
2024 W9Rec yds9.52475% / 51%0under
2024 W9Rec1.5269% / 40%0under
2024 W8Any TD–9% TD chance9% / 11%0under
2024 W8Rec yds13.52266% / 50%0under
2024 W8Rec1.5373% / 50%0under
2024 W8Rush yds0.5011% / 15%0under
2024 W7Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 15%0under
2024 W6Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 20%0under
2024 W6Rec yds26.52649% / 50%1under
2024 W6Rec2.5247% / 55%1under
2024 W5Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 22%0under
2024 W5Rec yds27.51937% / 48%37over
2024 W5Rec2.5238% / 52%2under
2024 W4Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 25%0under
2024 W4Rec yds31.52338% / 50%24under
2024 W4Rec2.5240% / 59%3over
2024 W3Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 16%0under
2024 W3Rec yds18.51950% / 49%18under
2024 W3Rec1.5258% / 60%3over
2024 W2Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 14%0under
2024 W2Rec yds16.52157% / 50%1under
2024 W2Rec1.5265% / 57%1under
2024 W1Any TD–23% TD chance23% / 15%0under
2024 W1Rec yds16.53272% / 52%40over
2024 W1Rec1.5380% / 55%2over
2023 W17Any TD–17% TD chance17% / 21%0under
2023 W17Rec yds30.53253% / 49%0under
2023 W17Rec3.5343% / 43%2under
2023 W16Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 20%0under
2023 W16Rec yds33.53451% / 49%9under
2023 W16Rec3.5344% / 51%1under
2023 W15Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 19%0under
2023 W15Rec yds35.53144% / 49%32under
2023 W15Rec3.5346% / 47%4over
2023 W14Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 21%0under
2023 W14Rec yds36.53548% / 51%22under
2023 W14Rec3.5346% / 51%2under
2023 W13Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 19%0under
2023 W13Rec yds25.53259% / 51%69over
2023 W13Rec2.5361% / 57%6over
2023 W12Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 21%0under
2023 W12Rec yds27.52649% / 50%60over
2023 W12Rec2.5352% / 57%4over
2023 W11Any TD–12% TD chance12% / 18%0under
2023 W11Rec yds26.52548% / 50%6under
2023 W11Rec2.5353% / 56%1under
2023 W10Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 23%0under
2023 W10Rec yds32.53250% / 50%20under
2023 W10Rec3.5345% / 41%3under
2023 W9Any TD–13% TD chance13% / 25%0under
2023 W9Rec yds37.53243% / 51%5under
2023 W9Rec3.5338% / 51%1under
2023 W8Any TD–14% TD chance14% / 22%0under
2023 W8Rec yds29.52544% / 51%62over
2023 W8Rec3.5230% / 41%4over
2023 W6Any TD–10% TD chance10% / 22%0under
2023 W6Rec yds34.53145% / 50%21under
2023 W6Rec3.5344% / 49%2under
2023 W5Any TD–16% TD chance16% / 18%0under
2023 W5Rec yds28.52445% / 50%48over
2023 W5Rec2.5246% / 55%5over
2023 W3Any TD–24% TD chance24% / 22%0under
2023 W3Rec yds34.54359% / 49%21under
2023 W3Rec3.5453% / 42%3under
2023 W2Any TD–15% TD chance15% / 21%0under
2023 W2Rec yds26.53055% / 50%26under
2023 W2Rec2.5359% / 47%3over
2023 W1Any TD––– / 25%0under
2023 W1Rec yds37.5–– / 51%17under
2023 W1Rec3.5–– / 44%2under

Our calls

  • 2025 W17 Under 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Under 6.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Under 6.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2025 W17 Under 6.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W9 Over 9.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W9 Over 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W9 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W8 Over 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W8 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W6 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W5 Under 27.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W5 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W4 Under 31.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W4 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W2 Over 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W2 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2024 W1 Over 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2024 W1 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W16 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W15 Under 35.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W14 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W13 Over 25.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W12 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W10 Under 32.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W9 Over 37.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W9 Under 37.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W9 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
  • 2023 W8 Under 29.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W8 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W5 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W3 Over 34.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W3 Over 34.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W3 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
  • 2023 W2 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅

For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

How this works

Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.

Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology