QB · GB · 253 lines since 2023
Jordan Love Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Jordan Love, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 11% — we make it 10%
- Line 34.5 pass attempts — we project 31 (P(over) 32%)
- Line 21.5 completions — we project 20 (P(over) 42%)
- Line 1.5 pass TDs — we project 1 (P(over) 47%)
- Line 243.5 pass yds — we project 216 (P(over) 37%)
- Line 6.5 rush yds — we project 5.9 (P(over) 48%)
Over/under record by market
- Passing yards over 28, under 23 (51 graded)
- Passing TDs over 30, under 21 (51 graded)
- Rushing yards over 20, under 30 (50 graded)
- Anytime TD over 5, under 46 (51 graded)
- Pass attempts over 5, under 10 (15 graded)
- Completions over 4, under 11 (15 graded)
- Rush attempts over 9, under 5 (14 graded)
Our calls on him: Man coverage 3–4 · Starters out on defense 5–5 · Low total (40.5 or less) 4–2 · model 48–54 · Short week 0–6 · Pressure 2–6 · Big favourite (6.5+) 6–2 · Freezing 1–3 · High total (48.5+) 3–8 · Wind 15+ mph 1–3 · Play action 0–5 · Blitz-heavy defense 1–0
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 11% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Pass att | 34.5 | 31 | 32% / 48% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Cmp | 21.5 | 20 | 42% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Pass yds | 243.5 | 216 | 37% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 5.9 | 48% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 45% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W4 | Pass yds | 241.5 | 210 | 36% / 50% | 197 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rush yds | 5.5 | 7.3 | 56% / 49% | -8 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 50% / 52% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Pass yds | 233.5 | 222 | 45% / 50% | 312 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rush yds | 7.5 | 7.7 | 51% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 54% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Pass yds | 251.5 | 226 | 39% / 50% | 145 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rush yds | 7.5 | 9.9 | 58% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | – | – / 47% | 2 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Pass yds | 237.5 | – | – / 50% | 387 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rush yds | 10.5 | – | – / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Pass att | 30.5 | 30 | 49% / 51% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Cmp | 19.5 | 19 | 50% / 50% | 8 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Pass yds | 236.5 | 213 | 39% / 50% | 77 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush att | 2.5 | 3 | 56% / 56% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Rush yds | 8.5 | 9.8 | 54% / 52% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Pass att | 31.5 | 30 | 44% / 48% | 40 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Cmp | 19.5 | 20 | 53% / 51% | 24 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 43% / 42% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Pass yds | 220.5 | 213 | 46% / 50% | 276 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush att | 2.5 | 3 | 57% / 51% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Rush yds | 7.5 | 8.6 | 53% / 51% | 29 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Pass att | 28.5 | 30 | 58% / 51% | 25 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Cmp | 18.5 | 19 | 57% / 52% | 17 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 54% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Pass yds | 219.5 | 227 | 53% / 50% | 234 | over |
| 2025 W14 | Rush att | 3.5 | 3 | 44% / 43% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Rush yds | 9.5 | 11 | 56% / 51% | -1 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Pass att | 31.5 | 31 | 49% / 49% | 30 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Cmp | 20.5 | 20 | 50% / 47% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 37% / 47% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Pass yds | 232.5 | 221 | 44% / 51% | 234 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush att | 2.5 | 3 | 58% / 56% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W13 | Rush yds | 10.5 | 10 | 49% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Pass att | 30.5 | 30 | 46% / 50% | 21 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Cmp | 20.5 | 19 | 43% / 46% | 14 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 44% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Pass yds | 230.5 | 216 | 44% / 49% | 139 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush att | 3.5 | 3 | 41% / 42% | 3 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Rush yds | 9.5 | 11 | 56% / 50% | 15 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Pass att | 29.5 | 31 | 60% / 50% | 24 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Cmp | 19.5 | 21 | 58% / 49% | 13 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 48% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Pass yds | 223.5 | 234 | 54% / 48% | 174 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rush yds | 9.5 | 13 | 58% / 51% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Pass att | 31.5 | 32 | 52% / 51% | 36 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Cmp | 20.5 | 21 | 55% / 50% | 20 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Pass yds | 233.5 | 230 | 49% / 50% | 176 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rush att | 2.5 | 3 | 55% / 50% | 5 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rush yds | 10.5 | 10 | 49% / 51% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Pass att | 29.5 | 30 | 51% / 49% | 37 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Cmp | 20.5 | 20 | 45% / 47% | 26 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 53% / 63% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Pass yds | 231.5 | 245 | 55% / 50% | 273 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Rush att | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rush yds | 9.5 | 13 | 61% / 51% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Pass att | 31.5 | 33 | 60% / 49% | 37 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Cmp | 20.5 | 22 | 61% / 51% | 29 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 51% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Pass yds | 240.5 | 252 | 55% / 51% | 360 | over |
| 2025 W8 | Rush att | 3.5 | 3 | 45% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W8 | Rush yds | 11.5 | 13 | 54% / 50% | -1 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Pass att | 30.5 | 31 | 52% / 50% | 29 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Cmp | 20.5 | 20 | 48% / 52% | 19 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 50% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Pass yds | 238.5 | 239 | 50% / 50% | 179 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rush att | 3.5 | 3 | 44% / 44% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W7 | Rush yds | 10.5 | 13 | 56% / 50% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Pass att | 29.5 | 31 | 58% / 51% | 26 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Cmp | 19.5 | 20 | 56% / 53% | 19 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 57% / 60% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Pass yds | 240.5 | 262 | 59% / 50% | 259 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush att | 3.5 | 3 | 38% / 42% | 7 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rush yds | 7.5 | 13 | 66% / 50% | 26 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Pass att | 30.5 | 30 | 48% / 49% | 43 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Cmp | 20.5 | 20 | 43% / 48% | 31 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 56% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Pass yds | 236.5 | 242 | 52% / 50% | 337 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush att | 2.5 | 3 | 56% / 56% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 9.6 | 60% / 51% | 28 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Pass att | 28.5 | 30 | 57% / 51% | 25 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Cmp | 18.5 | 19 | 56% / 49% | 18 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Pass yds | 223.5 | 226 | 51% / 52% | 183 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rush att | 2.5 | 3 | 55% / 48% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Rush yds | 5.5 | 8.5 | 60% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Pass att | 31.5 | 30 | 46% / 48% | 31 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Cmp | 20.5 | 20 | 46% / 50% | 19 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 52% / 51% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Pass yds | 238.5 | 235 | 49% / 51% | 292 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush att | 2.5 | 2 | 50% / 45% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rush yds | 5.5 | 8.1 | 59% / 51% | 12 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Pass att | 30.5 | 31 | 51% / 53% | 22 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Cmp | 21.5 | 20 | 36% / 49% | 16 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 48% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Pass yds | 235.5 | 227 | 47% / 51% | 188 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Rush att | 2.5 | 2 | 44% / 44% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rush yds | 5.5 | 7.6 | 57% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 46% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Pass yds | 194.5 | 197 | 51% / 50% | 69 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 54% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Pass yds | 252.5 | 228 | 40% / 51% | 185 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 6.0 | 48% / 49% | 6 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 58% / 61% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Pass yds | 232.5 | 235 | 51% / 50% | 182 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Rush yds | 5.5 | 8.2 | 58% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 52% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W15 | Pass yds | 236.5 | 223 | 43% / 50% | 229 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 8.2 | 56% / 50% | 4 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 51% / 57% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Pass yds | 253.5 | 225 | 38% / 50% | 206 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 6.0 | 48% / 50% | 23 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 51% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Pass yds | 239.5 | 220 | 41% / 51% | 274 | over |
| 2024 W13 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 7.8 | 54% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 54% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W12 | Pass yds | 239.5 | 220 | 42% / 50% | 163 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Rush yds | 5.5 | 9.2 | 63% / 50% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Pass yds | 229.5 | 197 | 34% / 50% | 261 | over |
| 2024 W11 | Rush yds | 5.5 | 8.3 | 60% / 50% | 18 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 50% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Pass yds | 222.5 | 220 | 49% / 50% | 273 | over |
| 2024 W9 | Rush yds | 4.5 | 6.9 | 59% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Pass TDs | 2.5 | 2 | 31% / 36% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Pass yds | 266.5 | 240 | 40% / 50% | 196 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rush yds | 7.5 | 8.9 | 55% / 49% | -1 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 56% / 60% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W7 | Pass yds | 250.5 | 222 | 39% / 50% | 220 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rush yds | 8.5 | 11 | 60% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W6 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 54% / 61% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Pass yds | 256.5 | 221 | 35% / 50% | 258 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 11 | 64% / 50% | 13 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 53% / 61% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Pass yds | 264.5 | 218 | 31% / 50% | 224 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rush yds | 4.5 | 11 | 70% / 50% | 10 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 45% / 49% | 4 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Pass yds | 239.5 | 215 | 39% / 50% | 389 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rush yds | 3.5 | 10 | 74% / 49% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 46% / 58% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Pass yds | 257.5 | 243 | 44% / 50% | 260 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Rush yds | 7.5 | 10 | 59% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 2 | 53% / 59% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Pass yds | 248.5 | 246 | 49% / 50% | 316 | over |
| 2023 W18 | Rush yds | 9.5 | 10 | 52% / 48% | -1 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 44% / 48% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Pass yds | 235.5 | 224 | 44% / 49% | 256 | over |
| 2023 W17 | Rush yds | 6.5 | 10 | 62% / 51% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 15% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 45% / 46% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Pass yds | 219.5 | 204 | 42% / 50% | 219 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rush yds | 10.5 | 13 | 56% / 51% | 12 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 51% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Pass yds | 246.5 | 234 | 45% / 49% | 284 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Rush yds | 10.5 | 13 | 56% / 50% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Pass yds | 230.5 | 219 | 45% / 51% | 218 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Rush yds | 10.5 | 15 | 63% / 49% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 16% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 36% / 38% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Pass yds | 221.5 | 201 | 39% / 49% | 267 | over |
| 2023 W13 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 12 | 42% / 49% | 10 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 30% / 41% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Pass yds | 230.5 | 205 | 38% / 50% | 268 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 11 | 40% / 48% | 39 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W11 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 31% / 44% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Pass yds | 235.5 | 224 | 44% / 50% | 322 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 14 | 49% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 31% / 34% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Pass yds | 213.5 | 197 | 41% / 50% | 289 | over |
| 2023 W10 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 15 | 52% / 50% | 11 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 36% / 37% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W9 | Pass yds | 209.5 | 208 | 49% / 50% | 228 | over |
| 2023 W9 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 18 | 57% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 31% / 41% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Pass yds | 220.5 | 199 | 41% / 49% | 229 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rush yds | 14.5 | 15 | 50% / 51% | 34 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 21% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 27% / 45% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Pass yds | 231.5 | 216 | 43% / 51% | 180 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rush yds | 12.5 | 16 | 60% / 51% | 21 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 40% / 47% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Pass yds | 235.5 | 221 | 43% / 50% | 182 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rush yds | 15.5 | 17 | 52% / 49% | 37 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 21% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 44% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Pass yds | 234.5 | 220 | 42% / 49% | 246 | over |
| 2023 W4 | Rush yds | 19.5 | 17 | 45% / 51% | -2 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 43% / 37% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Pass yds | 207.5 | 212 | 52% / 50% | 259 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rush yds | 12.5 | 11 | 47% / 49% | 39 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | 1 | 34% / 38% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Pass yds | 210.5 | 186 | 37% / 50% | 151 | under |
| 2023 W2 | Rush yds | 13.5 | 8.8 | 35% / 49% | 23 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Pass TDs | 1.5 | – | – / 38% | 3 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Pass yds | 212.5 | – | – / 49% | 245 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rush yds | 13.5 | – | – / 52% | 12 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W5 Over 233.5 pass yds (Man coverage, backtest (after the fact)) …
- 2026 W4 Over 241.5 pass yds (Starters out on defense, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Under 241.5 pass yds (Low total (40.5 or less), backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Under 241.5 pass yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W4 Over 5.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Under 233.5 pass yds (Short week, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W2 Under 251.5 pass yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 7.5 rush yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Under 237.5 pass yds (Man coverage, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2025 W16 Under 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Under 236.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 19.5 completions (Pressure, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 220.5 pass yds (Man coverage, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W15 Under 220.5 pass yds (Pressure, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W15 Over 2.5 rush attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Under 28.5 pass attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 28.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Under 219.5 pass yds (Freezing, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W14 Over 219.5 pass yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W14 Over 9.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 31.5 pass attempts (High total (48.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 232.5 pass yds (High total (48.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Under 232.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 232.5 pass yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Under 30.5 pass attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 230.5 pass yds (Man coverage, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 230.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Over 9.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 29.5 pass attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 29.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 19.5 completions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 223.5 pass yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Over 223.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W11 Under 223.5 pass yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Over 9.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Over 233.5 pass yds (Man coverage, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Under 29.5 pass attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 20.5 completions (Pressure, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 231.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Over 231.5 pass yds (Pressure, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 231.5 pass yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W9 Over 9.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Over 31.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Over 20.5 completions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W8 Under 20.5 completions (Pressure, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W8 Under 240.5 pass yds (Pressure, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Under 30.5 pass attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 1.5 pass TDs (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Over 10.5 rush yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 29.5 pass attempts (Big favourite (6.5+), backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Over 29.5 pass attempts (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 240.5 pass yds (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology