WR · LAR · 76 lines since 2023
Jordan Whittington Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Jordan Whittington, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 10% — we make it 5%
- Line 5.5 rec yds — we project 0 (P(over) 37%)
- Line 0.5 receptions — we project 0 (P(over) 47%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 6, under 8 (14 graded)
- Receptions over 7, under 6 (13 graded)
- Anytime TD over 0, under 33 (33 graded)
- Longest reception over 3, under 6 (9 graded)
Our calls on him: model 15–15 · Starters out on defense 2–2 · Dome team outdoors 4–2 · Pre-snap motion 2–0 · Wind 15+ mph 0–2 · Short week 0–1 · Missed tackles 0–1 · Middle of the field 0–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 10% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 0 | 37% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 0.5 | 0 | 47% / 60% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 5.5 | 8.3 | 56% / 51% | 8 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 68% / 64% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 13% | – | void |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 6% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W14 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Long rec | 6.5 | 9.1 | 58% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 11 | 58% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 35% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 9.5 | 8.2 | 46% / 50% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 12.5 | 9.4 | 44% / 49% | 17 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 35% / 48% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 12.5 | 8.8 | 39% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 10 | 40% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 14.5 | 13 | 46% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 17 | 46% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 24% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 25% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Long rec | 17.5 | 15 | 42% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec yds | 41.5 | 23 | 25% / 50% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Rec | 3.5 | 2 | 22% / 54% | 2 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 12.5 | 8.8 | 41% / 51% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 11 | 36% / 51% | 23 | over |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 17% / 42% | 3 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 9.5 | 7.6 | 46% / 50% | 22 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 8.7 | 40% / 51% | 33 | over |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 35% / 46% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 16% TD chance | 16% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.4 | 47% / 52% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 15.5 | 11 | 43% / 49% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 56% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 10.5 | 4.7 | 35% / 51% | 9 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 5.2 | 33% / 50% | 7 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 26% / 43% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W17 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W16 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W15 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W14 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W13 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 5% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | – | void |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 7% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 8% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 9% | – | void |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | – | – / 17% | – | void |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 34% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 30 | 30% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Rec | 4.5 | 3 | 22% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 29% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W5 | Rec yds | 47.5 | 24 | 23% / 50% | 89 | over |
| 2024 W5 | Rec | 4.5 | 2 | 17% / 53% | 7 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 5% TD chance | 5% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 8.7 | 24% / 50% | 62 | over |
| 2024 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 1 | 19% / 40% | 6 | over |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 4% TD chance | 4% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 34.5 | 1.9 | 6% / 50% | 28 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 3.5 | 1 | 1% / 49% | 3 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 3% TD chance | 3% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 12% | 0 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W1 Over 5.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W15 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 7.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Under 7.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W13 Over 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W13 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W12 Over 12.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W12 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W10 Under 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 15.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W9 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 17.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 41.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 41.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 41.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W7 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 12.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 18.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 18.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 18.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Over 18.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 18.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 14.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Over 15.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Under 15.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 10.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 13.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 13.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W7 Over 47.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W7 Under 47.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W7 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W5 Under 47.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W5 Under 47.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W5 Under 4.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W4 Under 22.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W4 Under 22.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W4 Under 22.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W4 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W3 Under 34.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W3 Under 3.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology