WR · CHI · 130 lines since 2023
Kalif Raymond Player Props
Closing consensus lines for Kalif Raymond, what he did, and what our model projected before the game.
2026 Week 5
- Anytime TD priced at 20% — we make it 18%
- Line 13.5 yds longest rec — we project 18 (P(over) 66%)
- Line 27.5 rec yds — we project 35 (P(over) 61%)
- Line 3.5 receptions — we project 3 (P(over) 48%)
Over/under record by market
- Receiving yards over 19, under 17 (36 graded)
- Receptions over 14, under 17 (31 graded)
- Anytime TD over 6, under 42 (48 graded)
- Longest reception over 5, under 6 (11 graded)
Our calls on him: model 29–20 · Pre-snap motion 3–1 · Middle of the field 1–0 · Short week 2–1 · Starters out on defense 2–1 · Dome team outdoors 7–4 · Wind 15+ mph 3–0 · Missed tackles 0–3 · Explosive plays 1–1
Line vs actual vs our projection
| Week | Market | Line | We projected | P(over) us / market | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 W5 | Any TD | – | 18% TD chance | 18% / 20% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Long rec | 13.5 | 18 | 66% / 50% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec yds | 27.5 | 35 | 61% / 49% | – | … |
| 2026 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 48% / 40% | – | … |
| 2026 W4 | Any TD | – | 22% TD chance | 22% / 23% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec yds | 31.5 | 45 | 64% / 50% | 6 | under |
| 2026 W4 | Rec | 3.5 | 4 | 62% / 44% | 2 | under |
| 2026 W3 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 16% | 1 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 30 | 60% / 49% | 90 | over |
| 2026 W3 | Rec | 2.5 | 3 | 67% / 51% | 6 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Any TD | – | 20% TD chance | 20% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W2 | Rec yds | 22.5 | 40 | 72% / 50% | 40 | over |
| 2026 W2 | Rec | 2.5 | 4 | 70% / 40% | 5 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Any TD | – | 34% TD chance | 34% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2026 W1 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 41 | 81% / 50% | 84 | over |
| 2026 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 4 | 83% / 50% | 8 | over |
| 2025 W18 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Long rec | 7.5 | 10 | 57% / 51% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 12 | 57% / 50% | 5 | under |
| 2025 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 42% / 33% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W16 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 13% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Long rec | 6.5 | 8.3 | 56% / 51% | 27 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 9.8 | 56% / 50% | 62 | over |
| 2025 W16 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 70% / 64% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W15 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W12 | Long rec | 10.5 | 9.4 | 48% / 48% | 30 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 12 | 50% / 50% | 37 | over |
| 2025 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 44% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W11 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Long rec | 11.5 | 10 | 45% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 14 | 44% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W11 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 59% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W10 | Long rec | 7.5 | 7.5 | 50% / 49% | 18 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 8.4 | 50% / 49% | 49 | over |
| 2025 W10 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 67% / 67% | 4 | over |
| 2025 W9 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Long rec | 7.5 | 8.8 | 53% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 10 | 49% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W9 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 38% / 38% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W7 | Any TD | – | 17% TD chance | 17% / 9% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Long rec | 7.5 | 7.4 | 50% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 8.0 | 47% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W6 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 35% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Long rec | 9.5 | 13 | 57% / 49% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 17 | 59% / 52% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W5 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 41% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W4 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 13% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 12 | 56% / 50% | 13 | over |
| 2025 W4 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 41% / 35% | 2 | over |
| 2025 W3 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Long rec | 6.5 | 11 | 64% / 51% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec yds | 7.5 | 15 | 64% / 53% | 4 | under |
| 2025 W3 | Rec | 0.5 | 1 | 80% / 67% | 1 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Any TD | – | 14% TD chance | 14% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W2 | Long rec | 7.5 | 11 | 62% / 51% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 15 | 58% / 51% | 14 | over |
| 2025 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 48% / 40% | 1 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Any TD | – | 19% TD chance | 19% / 10% | 0 | under |
| 2025 W1 | Long rec | 8.5 | 13 | 64% / 51% | 9 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 19 | 65% / 49% | 16 | over |
| 2025 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 59% / 39% | 2 | over |
| 2024 W18 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W12 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 12% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W11 | Rec yds | 8.5 | 19 | 66% / 51% | 30 | over |
| 2024 W10 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W10 | Rec yds | 9.5 | 19 | 67% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 18% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W9 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 15 | 48% / 49% | 12 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 24% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W8 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 18 | 42% / 50% | 14 | under |
| 2024 W8 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 29% / 43% | 2 | under |
| 2024 W7 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 9% | 1 | over |
| 2024 W6 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W4 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 11% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 17% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 10 | 44% / 48% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 37% / 42% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Any TD | – | 9% TD chance | 9% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W2 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 10.0 | 38% / 50% | 27 | over |
| 2024 W2 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 35% / 57% | 3 | over |
| 2024 W1 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 17 | 48% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2024 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 51% / 56% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W18 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec yds | 14.5 | 14 | 49% / 49% | 11 | under |
| 2023 W17 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 48% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W16 | Rec yds | 10.5 | 16 | 61% / 51% | 29 | over |
| 2023 W16 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 52% / 40% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W15 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec yds | 18.5 | 19 | 51% / 50% | 12 | under |
| 2023 W15 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 56% / 55% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W14 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 13% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec yds | 17.5 | 19 | 53% / 51% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W13 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 56% / 50% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W12 | Rec yds | 11.5 | 15 | 57% / 50% | 90 | over |
| 2023 W12 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 47% / 43% | 5 | over |
| 2023 W11 | Any TD | – | 15% TD chance | 15% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Any TD | – | 12% TD chance | 12% / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W10 | Rec yds | 13.5 | 17 | 55% / 50% | 46 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W8 | Rec yds | 16.5 | 18 | 53% / 49% | 24 | over |
| 2023 W8 | Rec | 1.5 | 2 | 57% / 50% | 2 | over |
| 2023 W7 | Any TD | – | 11% TD chance | 11% / 14% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec yds | 21.5 | 19 | 44% / 46% | 20 | under |
| 2023 W7 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 37% / 36% | 2 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Any TD | – | 13% TD chance | 13% / 19% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W6 | Rec yds | 20.5 | 24 | 56% / 49% | 23 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Any TD | – | 10% TD chance | 10% / 32% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W5 | Rec yds | 36.5 | 38 | 52% / 50% | 45 | over |
| 2023 W5 | Rec | 3.5 | 3 | 43% / 42% | 3 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Any TD | – | 7% TD chance | 7% / 22% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec yds | 23.5 | 26 | 53% / 51% | -2 | under |
| 2023 W4 | Rec | 2.5 | 2 | 45% / 39% | 1 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Any TD | – | 8% TD chance | 8% / 20% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W3 | Rec yds | 19.5 | 16 | 45% / 49% | 55 | over |
| 2023 W3 | Rec | 1.5 | 1 | 49% / 57% | 4 | over |
| 2023 W2 | Any TD | – | 6% TD chance | 6% / 17% | 1 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Any TD | – | – | – / 15% | 0 | under |
| 2023 W1 | Rec yds | 19.5 | – | – / 50% | 20 | over |
| 2023 W1 | Rec | 1.5 | – | – / 58% | 1 | under |
Our calls
- 2026 W4 Over 31.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W4 Over 3.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 23.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W3 Under 23.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W3 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 22.5 rec yds (Middle of the field, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 22.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W2 Over 2.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest (after the fact)) ❌
- 2026 W1 Over 14.5 rec yds (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2026 W1 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest (after the fact)) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Over 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W17 Under 8.5 rec yds (Pre-snap motion, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Under 8.5 rec yds (Short week, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W17 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W16 Over 7.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W16 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 16.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 16.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 16.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W11 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W10 Under 8.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W7 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W6 Under 9.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W6 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Over 9.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Under 10.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W5 Over 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W5 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W4 Over 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W4 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Over 6.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Under 7.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W3 Over 7.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W3 Over 0.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Over 7.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Over 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W2 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Anytime TD: yes (model, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 8.5 yds longest rec (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Under 10.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ❌
- 2025 W1 Over 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2025 W1 Over 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W11 Over 8.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W10 Over 9.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W10 Over 9.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W9 Under 16.5 rec yds (Dome team outdoors, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W9 Over 16.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W9 Under 16.5 rec yds (Wind 15+ mph, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Over 23.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W8 Under 23.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W8 Under 2.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2024 W2 Under 17.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W2 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ❌
- 2024 W1 Under 1.5 receptions (model, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W16 Over 10.5 rec yds (Starters out on defense, backtest) ✅
- 2023 W16 Under 10.5 rec yds (Missed tackles, backtest) ❌
- 2023 W16 Over 10.5 rec yds (model, backtest) ✅
For information and entertainment only; not betting advice. Lines are a pregame consensus of US sportsbooks via The Odds API and change quickly. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
How this works
Lines are the median across US books about an hour before kickoff. Projections are rolling-origin: made only from data before that week. Players who did not play are void.
Sources: The Odds API (US sportsbooks), nflverseFull methodology